UMass vs. New Mexico: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The UMass Minutemen (1-3) face the New Mexico Lobos (1-2) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. The Minutemen are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 3.5 points. The over/under for the contest is 48.5 points.

Want to bet on UMass or New Mexico in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

UMass vs. New Mexico Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
UMass -3.5 -108 -112 48.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for UMass vs New Mexico
ATS Total Score prediction
UMass (-3.5) Over (48.5) UMass 31 New Mexico 26

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

UMass New Mexico
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 25.0 (59) 27.7 (82)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 37.3 (129) 29.7 (94)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 8 (119) 4 (60)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 6 (23) 2 (105)

UMass vs. New Mexico Betting Insights

UMass Stats and Trends

  • UMass has won two games against the spread this season.
  • So far this season, three of UMass’ four games have gone over the point total.
  • The Minutemen and their opponents have scored more than 48.5 points in three of four games this season.
  • The average total in UMass’ matchups this year is 47.6, 0.9 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

New Mexico Stats and Trends

  • New Mexico has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Lobos have not covered the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
  • This year, games featuring New Mexico have gone over the point total twice.
  • The Lobos and their opponents have scored more than 48.5 combined points twice this season.
  • UNM has a 51.0-point average over/under in their matchups this season, 2.5 more points than this game’s point total.

UMass Players to Watch

  • Carlos Davis has passed for 690 yards while completing 63% of his throws (51-of-81), with five touchdowns and three interceptions (230.0 yards per game).
  • Kay’Ron Adams has churned out a team-high 366 rushing yards (91.5 yards per game) and scored three touchdowns.
  • Taisun Phommachanh has rushed for 130 yards on 25 carries (65.0 yards per game), with two touchdowns on the ground this year.
  • Anthony Simpson has 14 catches and paces his team with 289 receiving yards (72.3 ypg) while scoring one touchdown.
  • George Johnson has hauled in 13 catches for 131 yards (32.8 yards per game) and one touchdown.
  • Christian Wells has 108 receiving yards on five receptions, averaging 27.0 yards per game.

New Mexico Players to Watch

  • Dylan Hopkins has passed for 635 yards while completing 60% of his throws (48-of-80), with five touchdowns and two interceptions (211.7 yards per game).
  • Jacory Merritt has churned out a team-high 295 rushing yards (98.3 yards per game) and scored five touchdowns.
  • So far this year Dorian Lewis has rushed for 110 yards on 19 carries (36.7 ypg).
  • Donald Jones has reeled in five passes for a team-best 125 yards while scoring one touchdown. He averages 41.7 yards per game.
  • Luke Wysong has also added 99 yards on six catches and one touchdown. He puts up 33.0 receiving yards per game this year.
  • Jeremiah Hixon has 87 receiving yards on 11 receptions, averaging 43.5 yards per game.

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