Hawaii vs. New Mexico State: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The New Mexico State Aggies (2-2) will look to upset the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (1-3) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. The Rainbow Warriors are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 3 points. The over/under is 55.5 in the contest.

Want to bet on Hawaii or New Mexico State in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Hawaii vs. New Mexico State Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Hawaii -3 -110 -110 55.5 -108 -112

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Hawaii vs New Mexico State
ATS Total Score prediction
New Mexico State (+3) Over (55.5) New Mexico State 31 Hawaii 28

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Hawaii New Mexico State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 23.3 (69) 33.0 (17)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 36.8 (128) 28.0 (116)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 6 (98) 5 (77)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 2 (105) 2 (105)

Hawaii vs. New Mexico State Betting Insights

Hawaii Stats and Trends

  • Hawaii has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Rainbow Warriors have covered the spread when playing as at least 3-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
  • So far this season, one Hawaii game has hit the over.
  • Warriors games have had a combined total of more than 55.5 points twice this season (in four outings).
  • UH has an average total of 60.5 in their outings this year, 5.0 more points than this game’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

Hawaii holds an edge against New Mexico State in the last three matchups between these two teams, collecting a 2-1 record in those games. In those games against the Rainbow Warriors, the Aggies have a 2-1 record against the spread with those games outscoring the point total on two occasions. Hawaii outscored New Mexico State 115-100 in those three head-to-head matchups.

New Mexico State Stats and Trends

  • New Mexico State has covered twice in four matchups with a spread this year.
  • The Aggies have not covered the spread this year (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
  • New Mexico State games have gone over the point total twice this year.
  • The Aggies have combined with their opponent to score more than 55.5 points only twice this season.
  • The average total for New Mexico State’s games this season is 51.8 points, 3.7 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

Hawaii Players to Watch

  • Brayden Schager leads his team with 1,086 passing yards (271.5 per game) and has a 62.9% completion percentage (105-of-167), throwing 10 touchdown passes and six interceptions.
  • Jordan Johnson has churned out a team-best 86 rushing yards (43.0 per game) and zero touchdowns.
  • Tylan Hines has run for 50 yards on 18 carries (16.7 yards per game) this year.
  • Pofele Ashlock has 27 catches and paces his team with 362 receiving yards (90.5 ypg) while scoring three touchdowns.
  • Steven McBride has also tacked on 19 catches for 232 yards and four touchdowns this year. He averages 58.0 receiving yards per game.
  • Alex Perry has 105 receiving yards on 10 receptions, with one touchdown, averaging 35.0 yards per game.

New Mexico State Players to Watch

  • Diego Pavia leads his team with 918 passing yards (229.5 per game) and has a 64.6% completion percentage (53-of-82), throwing eight touchdown passes and four interceptions. He also has 182 rushing yards on 38 carries, averaging 45.5 yards per game.
  • Star Thomas has churned out a team-high 195 rushing yards (48.8 yards per game) and scored three touchdowns. He has tacked on seven catches for 78 yards (19.5 receiving yards per game).
  • Ahmonte Watkins has 187 yards on 15 carries (46.8 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • This season Jonathan Brady has 10 receptions for a team-high 252 receiving yards (63.0 per game) and three touchdowns.
  • Trent Hudson has hauled in eight catches for 143 yards (35.8 yards per game) and three touchdowns.
  • Chris Bellamy has 116 receiving yards on eight receptions, averaging 29.0 yards per game.

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