Boise State vs. San Diego State: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Boise State Broncos (1-2) will square off against a fellow MWC opponent, the San Diego State Aztecs (2-2) in a matchup on Friday, September 22, 2023 at Snapdragon Stadium. The Aztecs will attempt to pull off an upset as 6-point underdogs. The over/under for the outing is 46.5 points.

Want to bet on Boise State or San Diego State in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Boise State vs. San Diego State Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Boise State -6 -110 -110 46.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Boise State vs San Diego State
ATS Total Score prediction
San Diego State (+6) Under (46.5) San Diego State 26 Boise State 20

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Boise State San Diego State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 25.7 (86) 18.8 (88)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 30.7 (101) 25.5 (114)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 6 (100) 7 (116)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 4 (62) 10 (1)

Boise State vs. San Diego State Betting Insights

Boise State Stats and Trends

  • Boise State has won two games against the spread this season.
  • The Broncos have covered the spread when playing as at least 6-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
  • This season, games featuring the Boise State have gone over the point total twice.
  • The Broncos and their opponents have scored a combined total of more than 46.5 points two times this season (in three games).
  • The average point total in Boise’s outings this year is 58.0, 11.5 more than this matchup’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

San Diego State and Boise State have split their past two matchups 1-1. The Broncos and Aztecs have an even 1-1 record against the spread in those games with the two squads outpacing the point total on one occasion. Boise State outscored San Diego State 51-40 in those two head-to-head matchups.

San Diego State Stats and Trends

  • San Diego State has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Aztecs have covered the spread once this year (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 6-point underdogs.
  • Games featuring San Diego State have hit the over just once this year.
  • The Aztecs and their opponents have scored more than 46.5 combined points once this season.
  • The average over/under for SDSU’s outings this season is 49.3, 2.8 more points than this game’s point total.

Boise State Players to Watch

  • Taylen Green has thrown for 576 yards while completing 52.9% of his passes (46-of-87), with three touchdowns and four interceptions this year (192.0 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 16 times for 103 yards and one touchdown, averaging 34.3 yards per game.
  • Ashton Jeanty has ran for a team-leading 202 yards on 50 attempts (67.3 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns. He also averages 78.7 receiving yards per game, grabbing 14 passes for 236 yards and two touchdowns.
  • Eric McAlister has 15 catches, leading his team with 238 yards (79.3 ypg) while also scoring two touchdowns this season.
  • Stefan Cobbs has collected 131 yards on 13 receptions with one touchdown, averaging 43.7 yards per game.

San Diego State Players to Watch

  • Jalen Mayden leads the team with 703 passing yards (175.8 yards per game) and has a 60% completion percentage this year (69-of-115) while throwing three touchdowns with four interceptions. He also has 183 rushing yards on 41 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 45.8 yards per game.
  • Jaylon Armstead has taken 38 carries for a team-leading 193 rushing yards (48.3 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns.
  • Mark Redman has racked up 15 receptions for 178 yards, best on his team, and two touchdowns. He averages 44.5 receiving yards per game.
  • Mekhi Shaw has tacked on 10 receptions for 128 yards and one touchdown.
  • This season Brionne Penny has caught eight passes for 90 yards, averaging 30.0 receiving yards per game.

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