The Maryland Terrapins (3-0) will meet their Big Ten-rival, the Michigan State Spartans (2-1) in a matchup on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Spartan Stadium (MI). The Terrapins are considerable favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 7 points. An over/under of 52.5 points has been set for the contest.
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Maryland vs. Michigan State Odds
Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maryland | -7 | -110 | -110 | 52.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Computer Pick
ATS | Total | Score prediction |
---|---|---|
Michigan State (+7) | Under (52.5) | Michigan State 28 Maryland 22 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
Maryland | Michigan State | |
---|---|---|
Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 39.3 (34) | 27.7 (82) |
Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 13.3 (19) | 20.7 (54) |
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 2 (12) | 3 (33) |
Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 6 (23) | 3 (84) |
Maryland vs. Michigan State Betting Insights
Maryland Stats and Trends
- Maryland has covered once in three games with a spread this season.
- The Terrapins have covered the spread once this season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
- Maryland games have gone over the point total twice this season.
- Terps games have had a combined total of more than 52.5 points two times this season (over three outings).
- UMD has an average total of 51.5 in their outings this year, 1.0 fewer point than this game’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Michigan State and Maryland have split their past two matchups 1-1. The Terrapins and Spartans are tied 1-1 against the spread in those games while going over the total on one occasion. Michigan State outscored Maryland 53-48 in those two head-to-head matchups.
Michigan State Stats and Trends
- Michigan State has won two games against the spread this season.
- The Spartans have not covered the spread this year (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.
- Games featuring Michigan State have hit the over once this year.
- The Spartans have combined with their opponent to score more than 52.5 points just once this season.
- Sparty’s games this season have had an average of 48.3 points, 4.2 fewer points than this game’s point total.
Maryland Players to Watch
- Taulia Tagovailoa leads his team with 889 passing yards (296.3 per game) and has a 66.7% completion percentage (66-of-99), throwing five touchdown passes and two interceptions.
- Roman Hemby has taken 40 carries for a team-leading 243 rushing yards (81.0 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns. He’s also caught nine passes for 94 yards (31.3 receiving yards per game).
- Colby McDonald has 166 yards on 21 carries (55.3 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
- Jeshaun Jones has reeled in 13 passes for a team-high 198 yards while scoring two touchdowns. He averages 66.0 yards per game.
- Corey Dyches has hauled in 16 catches for 195 yards (65.0 yards per game) and one touchdown.
- This season Kaden Prather is averaging 54.7 yards per game, with eight catches for 164 yards and two touchdowns.
Michigan State Players to Watch
- This year, Noah Kim has put up 707 passing yards (235.7 yards per game) while completing 48 of 84 passes (57.1% completion percentage), with five touchdowns and one interception.
- Nathan Carter has picked up a team-high 272 rushing yards (90.7 yards per game) and scored four touchdowns.
- Jalen Berger has rushed for 31 yards on 10 carries (15.5 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
- Christian Fitzpatrick has six catches and paces his team with 164 receiving yards (54.7 ypg).
- Jaron Glover has contributed with seven catches for 152 yards this year. He puts up 50.7 receiving yards per game.
- This season Tre Mosley has caught 11 passes for 144 yards and one touchdown, averaging 48.0 receiving yards per game.
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