Maryland vs. Michigan State: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Maryland Terrapins (3-0) will meet their Big Ten-rival, the Michigan State Spartans (2-1) in a matchup on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Spartan Stadium (MI). The Terrapins are considerable favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 7 points. An over/under of 52.5 points has been set for the contest.

Want to bet on Maryland or Michigan State in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Maryland vs. Michigan State Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Maryland -7 -110 -110 52.5 -112 -108

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Maryland vs Michigan State
ATS Total Score prediction
Michigan State (+7) Under (52.5) Michigan State 28 Maryland 22

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Maryland Michigan State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 39.3 (34) 27.7 (82)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 13.3 (19) 20.7 (54)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 2 (12) 3 (33)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 6 (23) 3 (84)

Maryland vs. Michigan State Betting Insights

Maryland Stats and Trends

  • Maryland has covered once in three games with a spread this season.
  • The Terrapins have covered the spread once this season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
  • Maryland games have gone over the point total twice this season.
  • Terps games have had a combined total of more than 52.5 points two times this season (over three outings).
  • UMD has an average total of 51.5 in their outings this year, 1.0 fewer point than this game’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

Michigan State and Maryland have split their past two matchups 1-1. The Terrapins and Spartans are tied 1-1 against the spread in those games while going over the total on one occasion. Michigan State outscored Maryland 53-48 in those two head-to-head matchups.

Michigan State Stats and Trends

  • Michigan State has won two games against the spread this season.
  • The Spartans have not covered the spread this year (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.
  • Games featuring Michigan State have hit the over once this year.
  • The Spartans have combined with their opponent to score more than 52.5 points just once this season.
  • Sparty’s games this season have had an average of 48.3 points, 4.2 fewer points than this game’s point total.

Maryland Players to Watch

  • Taulia Tagovailoa leads his team with 889 passing yards (296.3 per game) and has a 66.7% completion percentage (66-of-99), throwing five touchdown passes and two interceptions.
  • Roman Hemby has taken 40 carries for a team-leading 243 rushing yards (81.0 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns. He’s also caught nine passes for 94 yards (31.3 receiving yards per game).
  • Colby McDonald has 166 yards on 21 carries (55.3 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Jeshaun Jones has reeled in 13 passes for a team-high 198 yards while scoring two touchdowns. He averages 66.0 yards per game.
  • Corey Dyches has hauled in 16 catches for 195 yards (65.0 yards per game) and one touchdown.
  • This season Kaden Prather is averaging 54.7 yards per game, with eight catches for 164 yards and two touchdowns.

Michigan State Players to Watch

  • This year, Noah Kim has put up 707 passing yards (235.7 yards per game) while completing 48 of 84 passes (57.1% completion percentage), with five touchdowns and one interception.
  • Nathan Carter has picked up a team-high 272 rushing yards (90.7 yards per game) and scored four touchdowns.
  • Jalen Berger has rushed for 31 yards on 10 carries (15.5 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
  • Christian Fitzpatrick has six catches and paces his team with 164 receiving yards (54.7 ypg).
  • Jaron Glover has contributed with seven catches for 152 yards this year. He puts up 50.7 receiving yards per game.
  • This season Tre Mosley has caught 11 passes for 144 yards and one touchdown, averaging 48.0 receiving yards per game.

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