North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The No. 17 North Carolina Tar Heels (3-0) will face off against a fellow ACC opponent, the Pittsburgh Panthers (1-2) in a matchup on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Acrisure Stadium. The Panthers will attempt to pull off an upset as 7-point underdogs. The over/under for the outing is 49.5 points.

Want to bet on North Carolina or Pittsburgh in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
North Carolina -7 -110 -110 49.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for North Carolina vs Pittsburgh
ATS Total Score prediction
Pittsburgh (+7) Under (49.5) North Carolina 24 Pittsburgh 21

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

North Carolina Pittsburgh
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 34 (55) 24 (94)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 21.3 (55) 17 (37)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 2 (12) 4 (60)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 5 (44) 3 (84)

North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Betting Insights

North Carolina Stats and Trends

  • North Carolina has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Tar Heels have covered the spread once when favored by 7 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • North Carolina games have hit the over once this season.
  • So far this season, one of the Heels contests has gone over 49.5 points.
  • UNC has an average total of 57.8 in their games this year, 8.3 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

Pittsburgh and North Carolina have split their past two matchups 1-1. The Tar Heels and Panthers have split those games 1-1 against the spread with those games going over the point total on one occasion. North Carolina put up 65 points in those two matchups compared to Pittsburgh’s 54.

Pittsburgh Stats and Trends

  • Pittsburgh has won one game against the spread this year.
  • So far this season, two Pittsburgh games have hit the over.
  • The Panthers have combined with their opponent to score more than 49.5 points only once this season.
  • The average total for Pitt’s games this season is 47.0 points, 2.5 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

North Carolina Players to Watch

  • Caleb Hood has six carries for a team-high 26 rushing yards (26 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Elijah Green has 4 yards on one carry (4 ypg).
  • This season Andre Greene Jr. has one catch and leads the team with 4 yards (4 per game).

Pittsburgh Players to Watch

  • Phil Jurkovec has passed for 474 yards while completing 46.7% of his throws (35-of-75), with four touchdowns and three interceptions (158 yards per game). He’s also rushed 28 times for 76 yards and one touchdown, averaging 25.3 yards per game.
  • Daniel Carter has churned out a team-best 103 rushing yards (34.3 per game) and one touchdown.
  • C’Bo Flemister has 99 yards on 21 carries (33 ypg).
  • Gavin Bartholomew has seven catches and paces his team with 157 receiving yards (52.3 ypg) while scoring one touchdown.
  • Konata Mumpfield has also tacked on eight catches for 93 yards and two touchdowns this year. He puts up 31 receiving yards per game.
  • This season Jerrod Means has caught four passes for 64 yards, averaging 32 receiving yards per game.

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