The No. 3 Texas Longhorns (3-0) will square off against the Baylor Bears (1-2) in Big 12 action on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at McLane Stadium. The Bears are currently heavy, 17.5-point underdogs. The over/under in this outing is 48.5 points.
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Texas vs. Baylor Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | -17.5 | -110 | -110 | 48.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Baylor (+17.5) | Over (48.5) | Texas 30 Baylor 21 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Texas | Baylor | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 34.0 (55) | 24.7 (93) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 14.7 (24) | 23.0 (66) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 1 (4) | 5 (77) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 6 (23) | 4 (65) |
Texas vs. Baylor Betting Insights
Texas Stats and Trends
- Texas has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The Longhorns have not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 17.5-point favorites.
- So far this season, one Texas game has hit the over.
- So far this season, one of the Horns outings has gone over 48.5 points.
- Texas’ contests this year have an average total of 53.7, 5.2 more points than this game’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Texas has an edge against Baylor over the last three matchups between these two teams, collecting a 2-1 record in those games. The Longhorns and Bears have split those games 1-1-1 against the spread with those games outscoring the point total on one occasion. Texas outscored Baylor 89-74 in those three head-to-head matchups.
Baylor Stats and Trends
- Baylor has not won against the spread this year in three games with a spread.
- Games featuring Baylor have gone over the point total once this year.
- The Bears and their opponents have scored more than 48.5 combined points once this season.
- The average over/under for Baylor’s outings this season is 52.8, 4.3 more points than this game’s point total.
Texas Players to Watch
- Quinn Ewers has passed for 740 yards while completing 60.7% of his throws (54-of-89), with eight touchdowns and zero interceptions (246.7 yards per game).
- Jonathon Brooks has rushed for a team-high 273 yards on 47 attempts (91.0 yards per game) and one touchdown. He also has 46 receiving yards on three catches (15.3 yards per game) and one touchdown.
- So far this year CJ Baxter has rushed for 69 yards on 16 carries (34.5 ypg).
- Xavier Worthy has racked up 16 receptions for 221 yards, best on his team, and two touchdowns. He averages 73.7 receiving yards per game.
- Ja’Tavion Sanders’ stat line this year shows seven catches for 158 yards and one touchdown. He averages 79.0 receiving yards per game.
- Adonai Mitchell has caught nine passes for 134 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 44.7 yards per game this year.
Baylor Players to Watch
- This year, Sawyer Robertson has racked up 444 passing yards (148.0 yards per game) while connecting on 28 of 62 passes (45.2% completion percentage), with one touchdown and three interceptions. He has tacked on 47 rushing yards on nine carries (plus one touchdown), averaging 15.7 yards per game.
- Dominic Richardson has picked up a team-high 156 rushing yards (78.0 yards per game). He has added four catches for 33 yards (16.5 receiving yards per game).
- Richard Reese has rushed for 117 yards on 26 carries (39.0 yards per game), with two touchdowns on the ground this year.
- Ketron Jackson Jr. has 10 catches, leading his team with 168 yards (56.0 ypg) this season.
- Hal Presley has contributed with 155 yards on eight catches. He averages 77.5 receiving yards per game this year.
- Drake Dabney has caught eight passes for 139 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 46.3 yards per game this year.
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