The No. 12 LSU Tigers (2-1) will play their SEC-rival, the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-1) in a matchup on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Tiger Stadium (LA). The Razorbacks will need a complete game to pull off an upset, they are currently 17.5-point underdogs. The over/under for the contest is 55.5 points.
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LSU vs. Arkansas Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | -17.5 | -110 | -110 | 55.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Arkansas (+17.5) | Over (55.5) | LSU 31 Arkansas 26 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| LSU | Arkansas | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 45.7 (14) | 38.3 (41) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 23.0 (66) | 19.0 (45) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 2 (12) | 2 (12) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 2 (105) | 7 (12) |
LSU vs. Arkansas Betting Insights
LSU Stats and Trends
- LSU has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
- The Tigers have covered the spread when playing as at least 17.5-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
- This season, games featuring LSU have hit the over every time.
- In two games this season, the Tigers and their opponents have combined to total more than 55.5 points.
- LSU’s outings this year have an average point total of 57.3, 1.8 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
In the past three matchups between these two squads, LSU has a 2-1 advantage over Arkansas. The Tigers and Razorbacks have an even 1-1-1 record against the spread in those games with the two squads not eclipsing the point total once. LSU outscored Arkansas 53-50 in those three head-to-head matchups.
Arkansas Stats and Trends
- Arkansas has covered once in three games with a spread this year.
- Arkansas games have gone over the point total twice this year.
- The Hogs and their opponents have scored more than 55.5 combined points twice this season.
- Arkansas’ contests this season have a 55.7-point average over/under, 0.2 more points than this game’s point total.
LSU Players to Watch
- Jayden Daniels leads the team with 977 passing yards (325.7 yards per game) and has a 73.7% completion percentage this year (70-of-95) while throwing eight touchdowns with one interception. He also has 157 rushing yards on 35 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 52.3 yards per game.
- Logan Diggs has 156 yards on 24 carries (78.0 ypg), with one rushing touchdown. He also has four catches for 48 yards (24.0 ypg).
- This season Malik Nabers has 24 receptions for a team-high 393 receiving yards (131.0 per game) and three touchdowns.
- Brian Thomas Jr. has chipped in with 20 catches for 280 yards and three touchdowns this year. He puts up 93.3 receiving yards per game.
- Kyren Lacy has totaled 99 yards on six receptions with one touchdown, averaging 49.5 yards per game.
Arkansas Players to Watch
- K.J. Jefferson leads the team with 629 passing yards (209.7 yards per game) and has a 71.4% completion percentage this year (55-of-77) while throwing six touchdowns with one interception. He also has 80 rushing yards on 31 carries with one touchdown, averaging 26.7 yards per game.
- AJ Green has taken 28 carries for a team-leading 190 rushing yards (63.3 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns.
- Rashod Dubinion has rushed for 96 yards on 26 carries (32.0 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
- Andrew Armstrong has 18 catches, leading his team with 197 yards (65.7 ypg) while hauling in three touchdowns this season.
- Isaac TeSlaa has chipped in with 10 catches for 143 yards and one touchdown this year. He averages 47.7 receiving yards per game.
- Jaedon Wilson has totaled 130 yards on seven receptions with one touchdown, averaging 43.3 yards per game.
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