Alabama vs. Ole Miss: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

SEC action features the No. 13 Alabama Crimson Tide (2-1) against the No. 15 Ole Miss Rebels (3-0) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Crimson Tide are considerable favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 7 points. The over/under for the outing is 56 points.

Want to bet on Alabama or Ole Miss in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Alabama vs. Ole Miss Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Alabama -7 -105 -115 56 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Alabama vs Ole Miss
ATS Total Score prediction
Ole Miss (+7) Under (56) Alabama 29 Ole Miss 28

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Alabama Ole Miss
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 32.3 (63) 52.7 (5)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 14.7 (24) 16.7 (35)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 3 (33) 2 (12)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 4 (65) 3 (84)

Alabama vs. Ole Miss Betting Insights

Alabama Stats and Trends

  • Alabama has won one game against the spread this season.
  • The Crimson Tide have covered the spread once when favored by 7 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
  • This season, games featuring the Alabama have gone over the point total twice.
  • Tide games have gone over 56 points twice this season (in three outings).
  • Bama has an average total of 55.5 in their contests this year, 0.5 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

Alabama has a 3-0 advantage over Ole Miss in the last three matchups between these two squads. The Rebels have a 2-1 record against the spread in those games against the Crimson Tide, with the two squads outpacing the point total on one occasion. Alabama put up 135 points in those three matchups compared to Ole Miss’ 93.

Ole Miss Stats and Trends

  • Ole Miss has compiled a 3-0-0 record against the spread this season.
  • This season, games featuring Ole Miss have gone over the point total twice.
  • The Rebs have combined with their opponents to score more than 56 points in all three games this season.
  • Mississippi’s outings this season have a 60.3-point average over/under, 4.3 more points than this game’s point total.

Alabama Players to Watch

  • This year, Jalen Milroe has racked up 449 passing yards (224.5 yards per game) while going 27-for-45 (60% completion percentage) and throwing five touchdowns and two interceptions. He has added 92 rushing yards on 22 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 46.0 yards per game.
  • Roydell Williams has 30 attempts for a team-high 177 rushing yards (59.0 per game) and one touchdown.
  • So far this year Jase McClellan has rushed for 158 yards on 35 carries (52.7 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Isaiah Bond has hauled in 10 receptions for 152 yards, best on his team, and one touchdown. He averages 50.7 receiving yards per game.
  • Jermaine Burton has also contributed with six catches for 127 yards and two touchdowns this year. He averages 42.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Amari Niblack is averaging 47.0 yards per game, racking up four receptions for 94 yards and two touchdowns.

Ole Miss Players to Watch

  • Jaxson Dart has thrown for 852 yards while completing 66.2% of his passes (45-of-68), with seven touchdowns and one interception this year (284.0 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 32 times for 213 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 71.0 yards per game.
  • Quinshon Judkins has rushed for 145 yards on 44 carries (48.3 yards per game), with four touchdowns on the ground this year. He also has seven catches for 70 yards (23.3 per game).
  • Jordan Watkins has hauled in 15 passes for a team-high 290 yards while scoring one touchdown. He averages 96.7 yards per game.
  • Dayton Wade’s stat line this year shows 11 catches for 215 yards. He puts up 71.7 receiving yards per game.
  • Tre Harris is averaging 94.0 yards per game, racking up eight receptions for 188 yards and five touchdowns.

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