A pair of MWC teams square off when the Air Force Falcons (2-0) take on the Utah State Aggies (1-1) on Friday, September 15, 2023 at Falcon Stadium. The Falcons are favored by 9 points. The over/under for the contest is 45.5 points.
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Air Force vs. Utah State Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | -9 | -110 | -110 | 45.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force (-9) | Over (45.5) | Air Force 31 Utah State 16 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Air Force | Utah State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 27.5 (81) | 46.0 (22) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 5.0 (2) | 26.0 (80) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 2 (36) | 1 (11) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 1 (107) | 3 (45) |
Air Force vs. Utah State Betting Insights
Air Force Stats and Trends
- Air Force has compiled a 0-2-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 9 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
- Air Force has had an average of 43.8 points in their games this season, 1.7 fewer than this matchup’s total.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Utah State holds an edge against Air Force in the past three matchups between these two teams, collecting a 2-1 record in those games. In those games against the Falcons, the Aggies have a 2-1 record against the spread with those games outpacing the total on two occasions. Air Force scored 107 points in those three matchups compared to Utah State’s 90.
Utah State Stats and Trends
- Utah State has a record of 2-0-0 against the spread this year.
- The Aggies have been an underdog by 9 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- Games featuring Utah State have hit the over once this season.
- Utah State’s average game total this season has been 52.8, 7.3 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Air Force Players to Watch
- Owen Burk has 112 yards on 24 carries (56.0 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
- Jared Roznos has racked up two receptions for 95 yards, best on his team, and one touchdown. He averages 95.0 receiving yards per game.
- John Lee Eldridge III has added 14 yards on one catch. He averages 7.0 receiving yards per game this year.
Utah State Players to Watch
- Cooper Legas has passed for 338 yards while completing 71.9% of his throws (46-of-64), with three touchdowns and one interception (169.0 yards per game). He’s also rushed 13 times for 35 yards, averaging 17.5 yards per game.
- Rahsul Faison has 12 attempts for a team-high 154 rushing yards (77.0 per game) and one touchdown.
- So far this year Davon Booth has run for 116 yards on 14 carries (58.0 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
- Terrell Vaughn has reeled in 23 passes for a team-best 166 yards with three touchdowns. He averages 83.0 yards per game.
- Jalen Royals has chipped in with 88 yards (on eight catches) and one touchdown.
- Micah Davis has racked up 69 yards on four receptions with one touchdown, averaging 34.5 yards per game.
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