Vanderbilt vs. UNLV: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 10, 2023

The UNLV Rebels (1-1) will look to upset the Vanderbilt Commodores (2-1) on Saturday, September 16, 2023 at Allegiant Stadium. The Commodores are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 4.5 points. The over/under for the outing is 57 points.

Want to bet on Vanderbilt or UNLV in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Vanderbilt vs. UNLV Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Vanderbilt -4.5 -110 -110 57 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Vanderbilt vs UNLV
ATS Total Score prediction
UNLV (+4.5) Under (57) UNLV 26 Vanderbilt 24

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Vanderbilt UNLV
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 34.0 (14) 25.5 (99)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 25.7 (115) 24.5 (68)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 4 (90) 2 (35)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 4 (30) 2 (74)

Vanderbilt vs. UNLV Betting Insights

Vanderbilt Stats and Trends

  • Vanderbilt has compiled a 0-2-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Commodores have been favored by 4.5 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
  • So far this season, one Vanderbilt game has gone over the point total.
  • Dores games have gone over 57 points just once this season (in three outings).
  • Vandy has had an average of 55.0 points in their games this season, 2.0 fewer than this matchup’s total.

UNLV Stats and Trends

  • UNLV has won all two of its games against the spread this year.
  • The Rebels have won their only game this season when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
  • So far this year, no UNLV game has hit the over.
  • UNLV’s games this year have had a 62.0-point total on average, 5.0 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Vanderbilt Players to Watch

  • AJ Swann has thrown for 766 yards while completing 61.2% of his passes (60-of-98), with eight touchdowns and three interceptions this year (255.3 yards per game).
  • Patrick Smith has taken 27 carries for a team-leading 157 rushing yards (52.3 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown.
  • Sedrick Alexander has rushed for 117 yards on 24 carries (39.0 yards per game), with two touchdowns on the ground this year.
  • Will Sheppard has hauled in 20 receptions for 217 yards, best on his team, and six touchdowns. He averages 72.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Jayden McGowan has hauled in 18 catches for 214 yards (71.3 yards per game).
  • This season London Humphreys has caught six passes for 164 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 54.7 receiving yards per game.

UNLV Players to Watch

  • Doug Brumfield has thrown for 186 yards while completing 56.8% of his passes (21-of-37), with zero touchdowns and one interception this year (93.0 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 17 times for 60 yards and one touchdown, averaging 30.0 yards per game.
  • Vincent Davis has run for a team-high 96 yards on nine carries (48.0 yards per game) and one touchdown.
  • So far this year Jai’Den Thomas has run for 61 yards on 13 carries (30.5 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Jacob De Jesus has nine catches and paces his team with 96 receiving yards (48.0 ypg).
  • Dominic Gicinto has also chipped in with 52 yards on three catches. He averages 26.0 receiving yards per game this year.
  • This season Ricky White has caught four passes for 36 yards, averaging 18.0 receiving yards per game.

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