The Memphis Tigers (2-0) will face off against the Navy Midshipmen (1-1) in a matchup of AAC teams on Thursday, September 14, 2023 at the Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium. The Midshipmen are currently an underdog by 12 points. The over/under is set at 47.5 in the outing.
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Memphis vs. Navy Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis | -12 | -110 | -110 | 47.5 | -105 | -115 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Memphis (-12) | Under (47.5) | Memphis 36 Navy 7 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Memphis | Navy | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 46.5 (17) | 13.5 (123) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 8.5 (12) | 21 (60) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 3 (72) | 0 (1) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 5 (11) | 2 (71) |
Memphis vs. Navy Betting Insights
Memphis Stats and Trends
- Memphis has won one game against the spread this season.
- The Tigers have covered the spread once when favored by 12 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
- Memphis games have hit the over once this season.
- Memphis has an average point total of 58.5 in their outings this year, 11.0 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
In the past three matchups between these two teams, Memphis has a 3-0 advantage over Navy. The Tigers have a 2-1 record against the spread in those games against the Midshipmen, with the two squads eclipsing the point total on one occasion. Memphis put up 82 points in those three matchups compared to Navy’s 37.
Navy Stats and Trends
- Navy has not won against the spread this season in two games with a spread.
- The Midshipmen have been an underdog by 12 points or more this year once, and failed to cover the spread.
- Navy and its opponent have not yet hit the over in 2023.
- The average over/under for Navy’s matchups this season is 49.8, 2.3 more points than this game’s total.
Memphis Players to Watch
- Seth Henigan has passed for 573 yards while completing 73.8% of his throws (48-of-65), with four touchdowns and two interceptions (286.5 yards per game). He’s also rushed 11 times for 27 yards and one touchdown, averaging 13.5 yards per game.
- Blake Watson has run for a team-leading 126 yards on 30 carries (63 yards per game) while scoring three touchdowns. He also averages 31 receiving yards per game, grabbing nine passes for 62 yards.
- So far this year Sutton Smith has rushed for 120 yards on 23 carries (60 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
- Tauskie Dove has four catches and paces his team with 124 receiving yards (62 ypg) while scoring one touchdown.
- DeMeer Blankumsee’s stat line this year shows seven catches for 122 yards and one touchdown. He puts up 61 receiving yards per game.
- This season Roc Taylor is averaging 45 yards per game, with nine catches for 90 yards.
Navy Players to Watch
- Tai Lavatai leads the team with 204 passing yards (102 yards per game) and has a 57.9% completion percentage this year (11-of-19) while throwing one touchdown. He also has 88 rushing yards on 26 carries, averaging 44 yards per game.
- Eli Heidenreich has run for 78 yards on seven carries (39 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
- Nathan Kent has reeled in two passes for a team-best 45 yards. He averages 45 yards per game.
- Anton Hall Jr. has also chipped in with one catch for 45 yards this year. He averages 22.5 receiving yards per game.
- This season Brandon Chatman is averaging 21 yards per game, with four catches for 42 yards.
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