The Northwestern Wildcats (1-1) will look to upset the No. 21 Duke Blue Devils (2-0) on Saturday, September 16, 2023 at Wallace Wade Stadium. The Blue Devils are without a doubt the favorites in this one, with the spread posted at 17 points. The over/under for the outing is 46.5 points.
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Duke vs. Northwestern Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | -17 | -110 | -110 | 46.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Northwestern (+17) | Under (46.5) | Duke 21 Northwestern 15 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Duke | Northwestern | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 35 (55) | 22.5 (105) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 7 (7) | 15.5 (30) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 1 (11) | 2 (35) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 3 (46) | 4 (30) |
Duke vs. Northwestern Betting Insights
Duke Stats and Trends
- Duke has a record of 1-1-0 against the spread this season.
- The Blue Devils have not covered the spread when favored by 17 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
- The average point total in Duke’s matchups this year is 51.8, 5.3 more points than this game’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Duke holds an edge against Northwestern over the last two matchups between these two squads, collecting a 2-0 record in those games. In those games against the Wildcats, the Blue Devils have a 2-0 record against the spread with those games outpacing the total on one occasion. Duke outscored Northwestern 61-46 in those two head-to-head matchups.
Northwestern Stats and Trends
- Northwestern has covered in its only game with a spread this year.
- This season, games featuring Northwestern has hit the over every time.
- Northwestern’s contests this season have a 40.0-point average over/under, 6.5 fewer points than this game’s point total.
Duke Players to Watch
- Riley Leonard leads his team with 311 passing yards (155.5 per game) and has a 64.4% completion percentage (29-of-45), throwing one touchdown pass and zero interceptions. He also has 111 rushing yards on 12 carries (with one touchdown), averaging 55.5 yards per game.
- Jordan Waters has run for a team-high 175 yards on 22 attempts (87.5 yards per game) and three touchdowns. He also has 46 receiving yards on three catches (23 yards per game) .
- Jaquez Moore has run for 115 yards on 18 carries (57.5 yards per game), with two touchdowns on the ground this year. He also has two catches for 46 yards (23 per game).
- This season Jordan Moore has seven receptions for a team-high 104 receiving yards (52 per game) and one touchdown.
- Jalon Calhoun has hauled in nine catches for 70 yards (35 yards per game) and one touchdown.
- Sahmir Hagans has 64 receiving yards on six receptions, averaging 32 yards per game.
Northwestern Players to Watch
- Ben Bryant has thrown for 285 yards while completing 58.5% of his passes (31-of-53), with one touchdown and two interceptions this year (142.5 yards per game).
- Cam Porter has churned out a team-high 98 rushing yards (49 yards per game). He has added six catches for 40 yards (20 receiving yards per game).
- Jack Lausch has run for 53 yards on four carries (53 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
- Cam Johnson has hauled in seven passes for a team-best 96 yards. He averages 48 yards per game.
- Joseph Himon II has also added two catches for 94 yards and one touchdown this year. He averages 47 receiving yards per game.
- This season A.J. Henning is averaging 29 yards per game, with six catches for 58 yards.
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