Liberty vs. New Mexico State: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 4, 2023

CUSA play features the Liberty Flames (1-0) against the New Mexico State Aggies (1-1) on Saturday, September 9, 2023 at Williams Stadium (VA). The Flames are considerable favorites in this one, with the spread posted at 9.5 points. The over/under is set at 53 in the outing.

Liberty vs. New Mexico State Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Liberty -9.5 -112 -108 53 -112 -108

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Liberty vs New Mexico State
ATS Total Score prediction
Liberty (-9.5) Over (53) Liberty 42 New Mexico State 23

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Liberty New Mexico State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 34.0 (69) 44.0 (4)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 24.0 (67) 31.0 (125)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 1 (40) 2 (82)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 5 (2) 0 (95)

Liberty vs. New Mexico State Betting Insights

Liberty Stats and Trends

  • Liberty has a record of 1-0-0 against the spread this season.
  • This season, games featuring Liberty have hit the over every time.
  • LU’s games this season have had an average of 48.5 points, 4.5 fewer than this matchup’s over/under.

New Mexico State Stats and Trends

  • New Mexico State has a record of 1-1-0 against the spread this year.
  • This season, games featuring New Mexico State has gone over the point total every time.
  • The average total for New Mexico State’s games this season is 50.3 points, 2.7 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

Liberty Players to Watch

  • Kaidon Salter has 143 passing yards (143.0 YPG) and a 55% completion percentage (11-for-20) while throwing two touchdowns. He also has 82 rushing yards on 19 carries , averaging 82.0 yards per game.
  • Quinton Cooley has rushed for 78 yards (78.0 per game).
  • Treon Sibley has three catches (on zero targets) and leads the team with 56 receiving yards (56.0 per game).
  • Aaron Bedgood has two catches for 30 yards (30.0 per game).
  • Vaughn Blue has collected 20 yards on two receptions with one touchdown, averaging 20.0 yards per game.
  • This season Chris Boti leads the team with one sack and has added two TFL and five tackles.
  • Tyren Dupree has collected 10 tackles and one TFL, and he’s tops on his team in tackles.
  • Jerome Jolly Jr. has intercepted two passes to lead the team while adding six tackles and two passes defended.

New Mexico State Players to Watch

  • This year, Diego Pavia has collected 565 passing yards (282.5 per game) while connecting on 32 of 47 passes (68.1%), with five touchdowns and two interceptions. He has added 21 rushing yards on 18 carries, averaging 10.5 yards per game.
  • Star Thomas has rushed for a team-leading 138 yards on 20 attempts (69.0 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns. He also averages 26.0 receiving yards per game, grabbing five passes for 52 yards.
  • Ahmonte Watkins has 116 yards on six carries (58.0 yards per game), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Jonathan Brady has hauled in six receptions for 150 yards, best on his team, and one touchdown. He averages 75.0 receiving yards per game.
  • Jordin Parker has been targeted zero times, and chipped in with 103 yards (on two catches) and two touchdowns.
  • Trent Hudson has racked up 97 yards on five receptions with two touchdowns, averaging 48.5 yards per game.
  • This season Nikhil Webb Walker leads the team with one sack and has added one TFL and nine tackles.
  • Keyshaun Elliott has collected nine tackles and one TFL this season, leading his team in tackles.
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