The Arkansas State Red Wolves (0-1) will look to upset the Memphis Tigers (1-0) on Saturday, September 9, 2023 at Centennial Bank Stadium. The Tigers are undoubtedly the favorites in this one, with the line sitting at 21 points. The over/under in this contest is 57 points.
Memphis vs. Arkansas State Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis | -21 | -112 | -108 | 57 | -108 | -112 |
Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State (+21) | Over (57) | Memphis 38 Arkansas State 21 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Memphis | Arkansas State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 56.0 (14) | 0.0 (131) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 14.0 (41) | 73.0 (129) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 3 (108) | 1 (40) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 1 (49) | 0 (95) |
Memphis vs. Arkansas State Betting Insights
Memphis Stats and Trends
- Memphis has compiled a 0-1-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Tigers have not covered the spread when favored by 21 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
- All Memphis games have hit the over this season.
- Memphis has an average total of 60.0 in their contests this year, 3.0 more points than this game’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Memphis holds a 3-0 advantage over Arkansas State in the last three matchups between these two teams. In those games against the Tigers, the Red Wolves have a 3-0 record against the spread with those games eclipsing the total on two occasions. Memphis has had the upper hand scoring in those three matchups, totaling 136 points while Arkansas State notched 106.
Arkansas State Stats and Trends
- Arkansas State has not won against the spread this season in one chances.
- The Red Wolves have not covered the spread when an underdog by 21 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
- Arkansas State games have gone over the point total once this season.
- ASU’s matchups this season have a 57.5-point average over/under, 0.5 more points than this game’s point total.
Memphis Players to Watch
- Seth Henigan has 334 yards through the air (334.0 per game) and a 75% completion percentage (27-for-36), flinging two touchdown passes and two interceptions.
- Sutton Smith has rushed for a team-best 115 yards (115.0 per game) and two touchdowns.
- So far this season Blake Watson has rushed for 75 yards (75.0 per game), with three touchdowns. Watson also figures in the passing attack, catching five passes for 37 .
- DeMeer Blankumsee has six receptions for a team-high 98 yards (98.0 per game) and one touchdown.
- Roc Taylor’s stat line this year reveals six catches for 78 yards. He puts up 78.0 receiving yards per game and has been targeted zero times.
- Tauskie Dove has caught three passes on zero targets for 72 yards.
- This season Jaylen Joyner leads the team with one sack and has added one TFL.
- Cameron Smith’s four tackles mean he’s the team’s tackle leader.
Arkansas State Players to Watch
- This year, JT Shrout has racked up 148 passing yards (148.0 per game) while completing 12 of 26 passes (46.2%).
- Jaxon Dailey has churned out a team-high 11 rushing yards (11.0 per game).
- Zak Wallace has 10 yards on seven carries (10.0 yards per game).
- Courtney Jackson has hauled in three passes for a team best 66 yards. He has been targeted zero times, and averages 66.0 yards per game.
- Tennel Bryant has tacked on three receptions (on zero targets) for 33 yards.
- Corey Rucker has caught one pass on zero targets for 28 yards.
- This season Javante Mackey has team-high numbers in both sacks and tackles, racking up zero sacks, 10 tackles.
