Alabama vs. Texas: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 3, 2023

The No. 11 Texas Longhorns (1-0) will look to upset the No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0) on Saturday, September 9, 2023 at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Crimson Tide are significant favorites in this one, with the spread posted at 7.5 points. An over/under of 53.5 points has been set for the contest.

Alabama vs. Texas Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Alabama -7.5 -105 -115 53.5 -108 -112

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Alabama vs Texas
ATS Total Score prediction
Texas (+7.5) Over (53.5) Alabama 29 Texas 26

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Alabama Texas
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 56.0 (14) 37.0 (58)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 7.0 (16) 10.0 (28)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 0 (1) 0 (1)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 2 (24) 3 (9)

Alabama vs. Texas Betting Insights

Alabama Stats and Trends

  • Alabama has won one game against the spread this season.
  • The Crimson Tide have been favored by 7.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • This season, games featuring Alabama have hit the over every time.
  • Bama’s outings this year have an average total of 52.0, 1.5 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

Texas Stats and Trends

  • Texas has not won against the spread this season in one opportunities.
  • Texas has yet to hit the over in any game this year.
  • Texas has a 59.0-point average over/under in their contests this season, 5.5 more points than this game’s point total.

Alabama Players to Watch

  • This year Jalen Milroe has recorded 194 yards through the air (194.0 yards per game) while completing 72.2% of his passes, with three touchdowns and zero interceptions. He also has 48 rushing yards on seven attempts (plus two scores), averaging 48.0 YPG.
  • So far this year Jase McClellan has run for 39 yards (39.0 per game), with one touchdown.
  • Isaiah Bond has reeled in five passes for a team best 76 yards plus one touchdown. He averages 76.0 receiving yards per game.
  • Jermaine Burton has tacked on three receptions (on zero targets) for 62 yards, scoring one touchdown.
  • Amari Niblack is averaging 49.0 yards per game, with two catches for 49 yards and one touchdown.
  • This season Chris Braswell leads the team with one sack and has added one TFL and four tackles.
  • Caleb Downs has collected five tackles and one TFL to lead the team in tackles so far.
  • Jaylen Key has a team-high one interception and has tacked on four tackles and one pass defended in one game this season.

Texas Players to Watch

  • Quinn Ewers has thrown for 260 yards while completing 63.3% of his passes, with three touchdowns and zero interceptions (260.0 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball eight times for 12 yards and one touchdown.
  • Jaydon Blue has taken 10 carries for a team-leading 55 rushing yards (55.0 per game).
  • Jonathon Brooks has 52 yards on 12 carries (52.0 yards per game). He also has two catches for 42 yards and one touchdown.
  • This season Xavier Worthy has seven receptions and leads the team with 90 yards (90.0 per game).
  • Jordan Whittington has also added 47 yards on four catches. He has been targeted zero times and averages 47.0 receiving yards.
  • Ja’Tavion Sanders has caught two passes on zero targets for 44 yards and one touchdown, averaging 44.0 yards per game.
  • Ethan Burke has registered a team-leading one sack, while adding one TFL and four tackles.
  • David Gbenda’s six tackles make him the team’s tackle leader.
  • Jaylan Ford has a team-high one interception and has tacked on five tackles and one pass defended in one game this season.
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