The New Mexico State Aggies (0-1) are heavily favored, by 20.5 points, versus the FCS Western Illinois Leathernecks on Saturday, September 2, 2023 at Aggie Memorial Stadium. An over/under of 55 points has been set for the outing.
New Mexico State vs. Western Illinois Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | -20.5 | -110 | -110 | 55 | -110 | -110 |
Computer Pick
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison (2022)
| New Mexico State | Western Illinois | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 25.5 (78) | 10.0 (52) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 23.9 (47) | 62.0 (66) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 18 (75) | 1 (17) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 13 (102) | 1 (31) |
New Mexico State vs. Western Illinois Betting Insights (2022)
New Mexico State Stats and Trends
- New Mexico State is winless against the spread this season (0-1-0).
- So far this season, one New Mexico State game has gone over the point total.
- New Mexico State has had an average of 45.5 points in their games this season, 9.5 fewer than this matchup’s total.
Western Illinois Stats and Trends (2022)
- The Leathernecks were an underdog by 20.5 points or more last season once, and failed to cover the spread.
- The average over/under for Western Illinois’ matchups last year was 56.5, 1.5 more points than this game’s total.
New Mexico State Players to Watch
- Diego Pavia has 248 passing yards (248.0 per game) and a 59.3% completion percentage (16-for-27), throwing three touchdown passes and two interceptions. He also has 29 rushing yards on 14 carries .
- Ahmonte Watkins has run for a team-high 95 yards (95.0 per game) and one touchdown.
- Star Thomas has rushed for 42 yards (42.0 per game). He also has two catches for 20 yards .
- Jonathan Brady has two receptions for a team-high 48 yards (48.0 per game).
- Trent Hudson has also contributed with two receptions (on zero targets) for 43 yards, scoring two touchdowns.
- Jordin Parker has caught one pass for 40 yards and one touchdown, averaging 40.0 yards per game.
- Randy Robinson boasts an impressive stat line to lead the team in sacks and total tackles, collecting zero sacks, six tackles.
Western Illinois Players to Watch (2022 Stats)
- Henry Ogala rushed for 17 yards on two carries (17.0 yards per game) a season ago.
- Last season Ludovick Choquette rushed for 16 yards on four carries (16.0 yards per game).
- Jafar Armstrong hauled in five passes for 72 yards last year. He was targeted zero times, and averaged 72.0 yards per game.
- Naseim Brantley contributed with 50 yards on three grabs and one touchdown. He was targeted zero times, and averaged 50.0 receiving yards last season.
- Donald McKinney racked up 23 yards on one catches in 2022.
- TJ Limehouse had a solid stat line a year ago, registering zero sacks, eight tackles.
- Last season Brantley grabbed zero interceptions and added eight tackles.
