The Troy Trojans (0-0) host the FCS Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks on Saturday, September 2, 2023 at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). The Trojans are heavily favored, by 26 points. The over/under is 48.5 in the contest.
Troy vs. SFA Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | -26 | -110 | -110 | 48.5 | -110 | -110 |
Computer Pick
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison (2022)
| Troy | SFA | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 25.6 (67) | 17.0 (33) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 17.1 (11) | 52.0 (49) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 21 (107) | 3 (66) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 21 (20) | 1 (31) |
Troy vs. SFA Betting Insights (2022)
Troy Stats and Trends
- Troy went 11-3-0 ATS last season.
- The Trojans were favored by 26 points or more last season once, and failed to cover the spread.
- Last season, six Troy games hit the over.
- The Trojans and their opponents went over 48.5 combined points in six of 14 games last season.
- Troy’s contests last season had an average total of 49.4, 0.9 more points than this game’s over/under.
SFA Stats and Trends (2022)
- SFA’s outings last year had a 64.5-point average over/under, 16.0 more points than this game’s total.
Troy Players to Watch (2022 Stats)
- Gunnar Watson recorded 2,813 passing yards (216.4 per game) with a 61.5% completion percentage last year, while throwing for 14 touchdowns with 12 interceptions.
- A season ago Kimani Vidal churned out 1,137 rushing yards (81.2 per game) and scored 10 touchdowns.
- DK Billingsley amassed 670 rushing yards on 142 carries, with eight touchdowns on the ground, last year.
- Last season Tez Johnson was targeted zero times and notched 56 catches for 858 yards with four touchdowns.
- RaJae’ Johnson’s stat line last year showed 36 grabs for 713 yards and seven touchdowns. He averaged 50.9 yards per game.
- Deshon Stoudemire caught 41 passes on zero targets for 507 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 39.0 yards per game.
- T.J. Jackson had a solid body of work a year ago, collecting seven sacks, 12 TFL and 49 tackles.
- In last year’s campaign, Carlton Martial racked up 134 tackles, one TFL, and one interception.
- Reddy Steward intercepted three passes and tacked on 51 tackles, one TFL, and nine passes defended last season.
SFA Players to Watch (2022 Stats)
- Trae Self threw for 82 yards while completing 40.9% of his passes with zero touchdowns and zero interceptions last year. He also carried the ball eight times for 39 yards and one score.
- Last season Brian Mauer rushed for 27 yards on six carries (27.0 yards per game).
- Last season Lawton Rikel was targeted zero times and collected four catches for 75 yards with one touchdown.
- Darryle Simmons’ stat line last year was two grabs for 46 yards. He put up 46.0 receiving yards per game.
- Jerrell Wimbley caught two passes on zero targets for 17 yards, averaging 17.0 receiving yards per game.
- Jalon Hunter put together a strong stat line a year ago, notching zero sacks, eight tackles.
- Jaterious Evans picked off one pass and tacked on eight tackles last season.
