The No. 22 Ole Miss Rebels (0-0) host the FCS Mercer Bears on Saturday, September 2, 2023 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. The Rebels are heavily favored, by 34 points. The over/under in this contest is 56 points.
Ole Miss vs. Mercer Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | -34 | -112 | -108 | 56 | -110 | -110 |
Computer Pick
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison (2022)
| Ole Miss | Mercer | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 33.5 (32) | 16.0 (44) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 25.5 (67) | 42.0 (35) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 18 (75) | 0 (1) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 17 (60) | 2 (15) |
Ole Miss vs. Mercer Betting Insights (2022)
Ole Miss Stats and Trends
- Ole Miss put together a 4-8-1 record against the spread last season.
- The Rebels covered the spread when playing as at least 34-point favorites in their only opportunity last season.
- Ole Miss and its opponent combined to hit the over in six of 13 contests last season.
- In eight of 13 games last season, the Rebels and their opponents combined to total more than 56 points.
- Ole Miss had an average total of 61.9 in its contests last season, 5.9 more points than the over/under for this game.
Mercer Stats and Trends (2022)
- Mercer’s outings last year had a 51.5-point average over/under, 4.5 fewer points than this game’s total.
Ole Miss Players to Watch (2022 Stats)
- Last year Jaxson Dart recorded 2,974 passing yards (228.8 per game) while going 226-for-362 (62.4%) and throwing for 20 touchdowns with 11 interceptions. He added 614 rushing yards on 128 carries with one touchdown.
- Quinshon Judkins took 274 carries for 1,567 rushing yards a season ago (120.5 per game) and scored 16 touchdowns.
- Zach Evans amassed 936 rushing yards on 144 carries, with nine touchdowns on the ground, last year.
- Malik Heath hauled in 60 passes for 971 yards last year and scored five touchdowns. He was targeted zero times, and averaged 80.9 receiving yards.
- Jonathan Mingo also chipped in with 51 catches for 861 yards and five touchdowns.
- Jordan Watkins caught 40 passes for 449 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 37.4 yards per game.
- Khari Coleman had a strong body of work a year ago, collecting four sacks, nine TFL and 41 tackles.
- Troy Brown collected 95 tackles and two TFL over the course of his last campaign.
- A.J. Finley intercepted two passes while adding 69 tackles, three TFL, and one pass defended a season ago.
Mercer Players to Watch (2022 Stats)
- Fred Payton threw for 197 yards while completing 58.3% of his passes last year, with two touchdowns and zero interceptions (197.0 yards per game).
- Austin Douglas took nine carries for 40 rushing yards a season ago (40.0 per game). He also caught four passes for 23 yards.
- Al Wooten II amassed 32 rushing yards on 12 carries last year. He also caught three passes for 17 (17.0 yards per game).
- Devron Harper grabbed five passes for 45 yards last year while scoring two touchdowns. He was targeted zero times, and averaged 45.0 yards per game.
- Ty James added three catches for 42 yards. He was targeted zero times, and posted 42.0 receiving yards per game.
- Parker Wroble caught three passes on zero targets for 40 yards.
- Myles Redding had an impressive stat line a year ago, registering zero sacks, 10 tackles.
- TJ Moore intercepted one pass and tacked on five tackles last season.
