USC vs. Nevada: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 28, 2023

The Nevada Wolf Pack (0-0) will look to upset the No. 6 USC Trojans (1-0) on Saturday, September 2, 2023 at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. The Trojans are heavy favorites in this one, with the spread posted at 38 points. The over/under in this contest is 63.5 points.

USC vs. Nevada Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
USC -38 -110 -110 63.5 -110 -110

Computer Pick

Computer picks for USC vs Nevada
ATS Total Score prediction
Nevada (+38) Under (63.5) USC 47 Nevada 11

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison (2022)

USC Nevada
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 41.4 (4) 18.8 (120)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 29.2 (112) 30.9 (90)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 6 (1) 17 (62)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 26 (6) 18 (47)

USC vs. Nevada Betting Insights (2022)

USC Stats and Trends

  • USC has not won against the spread this season in one games with a spread.
  • So far this season, one USC game has gone over the point total.
  • Southern Cal’s matchups this year have an average total of 66.5, 3.0 more points than this game’s over/under.

Nevada Stats and Trends (2022)

  • Nevada compiled a 4-8-0 record against the spread last year.
  • In Nevada games last year, combined scoring went over the point total five times.
  • The Wolf Pack and their opponents scored more than 63.5 combined points just twice last season.
  • Nevada had a 47.8-point average over/under in its matchups last year, 15.7 fewer points than this game’s point total.

USC Players to Watch

  • Caleb Williams has compiled 278 passing yards (278 per game) while completing 18 of 25 passes (72%), with four touchdowns and zero interceptions.
  • Austin Jones has rushed for a team-high 54 yards (54 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Marshawn Lloyd has run for 42 yards (42 YPG).
  • Tahj Washington has been targeted zero times and has two catches, leading his team with 85 yards (85 ypg) while hauling in one touchdown.
  • Zachariah Branch has contributed with four catches for 58 yards and one touchdown. He has been targeted zero times and averages 58 receiving yards per game.
  • Duce Robinson is averaging 44 yards per game, with three catches for 44 yards.
  • This season Jaylin Smith has team-high numbers in both sacks and tackles, collecting zero sacks, eight tackles.

Nevada Players to Watch (2022 Stats)

  • Last year Nate Cox recorded 1,464 passing yards (133.1 per game) while going 133-for-251 (53%) and throwing for five touchdowns with five interceptions. He also had 272 rushing yards on 72 carries plus three rushing TDs.
  • Toa Taua ran for a team-best 911 yards on 217 attempts and 11 touchdowns a season ago. He also averaged 24.6 receiving yards per game, grabbing 41 passes for 295 yards and one TD.
  • Last season Brian Casteel grabbed 48 passes for 581 yards (48.4 per game) and four touchdowns.
  • Dalevon Campbell also added 467 yards on 39 catches and one touchdown. He was targeted zero times, and averaged 42.5 receiving yards last season.
  • Last season Dom Peterson put up four sacks, eight TFL and 30 tackles.
  • Bentlee Sanders’ 2022 campaign saw him total 72 tackles, five TFL, and five interceptions.
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