Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee will play host to the No. 12 Tennessee Volunteers (0-0) and the Virginia Cavaliers (0-0) on September 2, 2023, starting at 12:00 PM ET, airing on ABC. The Volunteers are a 27.5-point favorite in the matchup. The over/under is set at 55.5 in the contest.
Tennessee vs. Virginia Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | -27.5 | -110 | -110 | 55.5 | -110 | -110 |
Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Tennessee (-27.5) | Under (55.5) | Tennessee 45 Virginia 9 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison (2022)
| Tennessee | Virginia | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 46.1 (2) | 17.0 (127) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 22.8 (36) | 24.0 (11) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 11 (13) | 19 (91) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 21 (20) | 12 (109) |
Tennessee vs. Virginia Betting Insights (2022)
Tennessee Stats and Trends
- Tennessee won 10 games against the spread last season, failing to cover three times.
- The Volunteers were favored by 27.5 points or more three times last season, and covered the spread in each of those games.
- Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total seven times in Tennessee games.
- In nine of 13 games last season, the Volunteers and their opponents scored more than 55.5 points.
- The average total in Tennessee’s contests last season was 64.7, 9.2 more points than the over/under for this game.
Virginia Stats and Trends (2022)
- Virginia won four games against the spread last year, failing to cover six times.
- Virginia games went over the point total just twice last year.
- The Cavaliers and their opponents scored more than 55.5 combined points just once last season.
- Virginia had a 52.3-point average over/under in its contests last year, 3.2 fewer points than this game’s point total.
Tennessee Players to Watch (2022 Stats)
- Hendon Hooker recorded 3,135 passing yards (285.0 per game) with a 69.6% completion percentage last year, while throwing for 27 touchdowns with two interceptions. He tacked on 430 rushing yards on 104 carries with five touchdowns.
- Jaylen Wright took 146 attempts for 875 rushing yards a season ago (67.3 per game) and scored 10 touchdowns.
- Last season Jabari Small ran for 734 yards on 157 carries (56.5 yards per game), with 13 rushing touchdowns.
- Last year Jalin Hyatt was targeted zero times and notched 67 catches for 1,267 yards with 15 touchdowns.
- Bru McCoy chipped in with 52 grabs for 667 yards and four touchdowns.
- Ramel Keyton caught 31 passes on zero targets for 562 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 56.2 yards per game.
- Byron Young had a strong body of work a year ago, registering six sacks, nine TFL and 36 tackles.
- Aaron Beasley racked up 76 tackles, eight TFL, and three sacks over his last campaign.
- Last season, Kamal Hadden hauled in two interceptions and added 49 tackles, two TFL, and one pass defended.
Virginia Players to Watch (2022 Stats)
- Brennan Armstrong threw for 2,210 yards while completing 54.6% of his passes with seven touchdowns and 12 interceptions last year. He also carried the ball 123 times for 371 yards and six scores.
- Last season Perris Jones ran for 365 yards on 81 carries (45.6 yards per game), with two rushing touchdowns.
- Last year Keytaon Thompson reeled in 53 passes for 579 yards (72.4 per game).
- Dontayvion Wicks added 430 yards on 30 catches and two touchdowns. He was targeted zero times, and averaged 53.8 receiving yards last year.
- Sackett Wood Jr. caught 12 passes on zero targets for 165 yards, averaging 33.0 receiving yards per game.
- Chico Bennett Jr. had a strong body of work a year ago, notching six sacks, six TFL and 30 tackles.
- Nick Jackson’s 2022 campaign saw him total 96 tackles, six TFL, and five sacks.
- Anthony Johnson picked off two passes while adding 52 tackles, three TFL, and nine passes defended a season ago.