Tennessee vs. Virginia: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 26, 2023

Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee will play host to the No. 12 Tennessee Volunteers (0-0) and the Virginia Cavaliers (0-0) on September 2, 2023, starting at 12:00 PM ET, airing on ABC. The Volunteers are a 27.5-point favorite in the matchup. The over/under is set at 55.5 in the contest.

Tennessee vs. Virginia Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Tennessee -27.5 -110 -110 55.5 -110 -110

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Tennessee vs Virginia
ATS Total Score prediction
Tennessee (-27.5) Under (55.5) Tennessee 45 Virginia 9

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison (2022)

Tennessee Virginia
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 46.1 (2) 17.0 (127)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 22.8 (36) 24.0 (11)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 11 (13) 19 (91)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 21 (20) 12 (109)

Tennessee vs. Virginia Betting Insights (2022)

Tennessee Stats and Trends

  • Tennessee won 10 games against the spread last season, failing to cover three times.
  • The Volunteers were favored by 27.5 points or more three times last season, and covered the spread in each of those games.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total seven times in Tennessee games.
  • In nine of 13 games last season, the Volunteers and their opponents scored more than 55.5 points.
  • The average total in Tennessee’s contests last season was 64.7, 9.2 more points than the over/under for this game.

Virginia Stats and Trends (2022)

  • Virginia won four games against the spread last year, failing to cover six times.
  • Virginia games went over the point total just twice last year.
  • The Cavaliers and their opponents scored more than 55.5 combined points just once last season.
  • Virginia had a 52.3-point average over/under in its contests last year, 3.2 fewer points than this game’s point total.

Tennessee Players to Watch (2022 Stats)

  • Hendon Hooker recorded 3,135 passing yards (285.0 per game) with a 69.6% completion percentage last year, while throwing for 27 touchdowns with two interceptions. He tacked on 430 rushing yards on 104 carries with five touchdowns.
  • Jaylen Wright took 146 attempts for 875 rushing yards a season ago (67.3 per game) and scored 10 touchdowns.
  • Last season Jabari Small ran for 734 yards on 157 carries (56.5 yards per game), with 13 rushing touchdowns.
  • Last year Jalin Hyatt was targeted zero times and notched 67 catches for 1,267 yards with 15 touchdowns.
  • Bru McCoy chipped in with 52 grabs for 667 yards and four touchdowns.
  • Ramel Keyton caught 31 passes on zero targets for 562 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 56.2 yards per game.
  • Byron Young had a strong body of work a year ago, registering six sacks, nine TFL and 36 tackles.
  • Aaron Beasley racked up 76 tackles, eight TFL, and three sacks over his last campaign.
  • Last season, Kamal Hadden hauled in two interceptions and added 49 tackles, two TFL, and one pass defended.

Virginia Players to Watch (2022 Stats)

  • Brennan Armstrong threw for 2,210 yards while completing 54.6% of his passes with seven touchdowns and 12 interceptions last year. He also carried the ball 123 times for 371 yards and six scores.
  • Last season Perris Jones ran for 365 yards on 81 carries (45.6 yards per game), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Last year Keytaon Thompson reeled in 53 passes for 579 yards (72.4 per game).
  • Dontayvion Wicks added 430 yards on 30 catches and two touchdowns. He was targeted zero times, and averaged 53.8 receiving yards last year.
  • Sackett Wood Jr. caught 12 passes on zero targets for 165 yards, averaging 33.0 receiving yards per game.
  • Chico Bennett Jr. had a strong body of work a year ago, notching six sacks, six TFL and 30 tackles.
  • Nick Jackson’s 2022 campaign saw him total 96 tackles, six TFL, and five sacks.
  • Anthony Johnson picked off two passes while adding 52 tackles, three TFL, and nine passes defended a season ago.
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