Oklahoma vs. Arkansas State: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 26, 2023

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (0-0) will look to upset the No. 20 Oklahoma Sooners (0-0) on Saturday, September 2, 2023 at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK). The Sooners are heavy favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 36 points. The over/under is 57.5 in the outing.

Oklahoma vs. Arkansas State Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Oklahoma -36 -110 -110 57.5 -110 -110

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Oklahoma vs Arkansas State
ATS Total Score prediction
Arkansas State (+36) Over (57.5) Oklahoma 44 Arkansas State 15

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison (2022)

Oklahoma Arkansas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 32.8 (34) 25 (90)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 30 (103) 31.4 (96)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 13 (22) 8 (3)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 20 (28) 11 (120)

Oklahoma vs. Arkansas State Betting Insights (2022)

Oklahoma Stats and Trends

  • Oklahoma went 5-7-1 ATS last season.
  • Oklahoma and its opponent combined to hit the over in six of 13 contests last season.
  • In eight games last season, the Sooners and their opponents went over 57.5 combined points.
  • The average point total in Oklahoma’s outings last season was 64.3, 6.8 more points than the over/under for this game.

Arkansas State Stats and Trends (2022)

  • Arkansas State compiled a 7-5-0 ATS record last year.
  • The Red Wolves covered the spread when playing as at least 36-point underdogs in their only opportunity last year.
  • Arkansas State and its opponent combined to go over the point total seven out of 12 times last season.
  • The Red Wolves played six games last season that went over 57.5 combined points scored.
  • Arkansas State had a 55.0-point average over/under in its outings last year, 2.5 fewer points than this game’s total.

Oklahoma Players to Watch (2022 Stats)

  • Last season Dillon Gabriel put up 3,168 passing yards (264 per game) while going 230-for-367 (62.7%) and throwing for 25 touchdowns with six interceptions. He added 317 rushing yards on 89 carries with six touchdowns.
  • Eric Gray took 213 carries for 1,364 rushing yards a season ago (113.7 per game) and scored 11 touchdowns. He also caught 33 passes for 229 yards.
  • Last season Jovantae Barnes rushed for 519 yards on 116 carries (51.9 yards per game), with five rushing touchdowns.
  • Marvin Mims reeled in 54 passes for 1,083 yards last year while scoring six touchdowns. He was targeted zero times, and averaged 83.3 receiving yards.
  • Brayden Willis contributed with 514 receiving yards on 39 grabs and seven touchdowns. He was targeted zero times, and averaged 39.5 yards per game.
  • Jalil Farooq collected 466 receiving yards on 37 catches with five TDs.
  • Jalen Redmond put together an impressive body of work a year ago, collecting three sacks, seven TFL and 29 tackles.
  • Danny Stutsman totaled 121 tackles, seven TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions over the course of his last campaign.
  • C.J. Coldon intercepted four passes and tacked on 39 tackles, two TFL, and five passes defended last season.

Arkansas State Players to Watch (2022 Stats)

  • James Blackman collected 2,471 passing yards (205.9 per game) with a 64.3% completion percentage last year (223-for-347), throwing for 14 touchdowns with three interceptions.
  • Johnnie Lang rushed for 421 yards on 120 attempts (35.1 yards per game) and scored three touchdowns a season ago. He also averaged 19.8 receiving yards per game, grabbing 24 passes for 238 yards and three TDs.
  • Brian Snead totaled 297 rushing yards on 80 carries with six touchdowns on the ground last season.
  • Last year Seydou Traore hauled in 50 passes for 655 yards (54.6 per game) and four touchdowns.
  • Champ Flemings’ stat line last season was 41 catches for 492 yards and one touchdown. He averaged 44.7 receiving yards per game.
  • Jeff Foreman caught 30 passes on zero targets for 491 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 44.6 receiving yards per game.
  • Last season Kivon Bennett put up four sacks, seven TFL and 45 tackles.
  • Over his 2022 campaign, Jaden Harris collected 70 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and one interception.
  • Last season Eddie Smith reeled in two interceptions and added 55 tackles and six passes defended.
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