Purdue vs. Fresno State: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 26, 2023

The Purdue Boilermakers (0-0) face the Fresno State Bulldogs (0-0) on Saturday, September 2, 2023 at Ross-Ade Stadium. The Boilermakers are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 3.5 points. The over/under is set at 46.5 in the contest.

Purdue vs. Fresno State Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Purdue -3.5 -115 -105 46.5 -115 -105

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Purdue vs Fresno State
ATS Total Score prediction
Fresno State (+3.5) Over (46.5) Fresno State 27 Purdue 25

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison (2022)

Purdue Fresno State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 26.6 (57) 30.6 (33)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 27.4 (100) 19.4 (25)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 23 (120) 13 (22)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 19 (40) 18 (47)

Purdue vs. Fresno State Betting Insights (2022)

Purdue Stats and Trends

  • Purdue won five games against the spread last season, failing to cover nine times.
  • The Boilermakers covered the spread twice last season (2-4 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • Purdue games went over the point total nine out of 14 times last season.
  • The Boilermakers’ 14 games last season went over this contest’s total of 46.5 points 10 times.
  • Purdue’s outings last season had an average point total of 52.4, 5.9 more points than this game’s over/under.

Fresno State Stats and Trends (2022)

  • Fresno State covered seven times in 14 chances against the spread last year.
  • The Bulldogs covered the spread once when an underdog by 3.5 points or more last year (in three opportunities).
  • A total of seven of Fresno State games last year hit the over.
  • The Bulldogs’ games last season had a combined scoring total higher than 46.5 points in eight of 14 outings.
  • Fresno State’s outings last year had a 54.1-point average over/under, 7.6 more points than this game’s total.

Purdue Players to Watch (2022 Stats)

  • Aidan O’Connell threw for 3,481 yards last season (290.1 per game) while completing 64.1% of his passes (319-for-498), with 22 touchdowns and 13 interceptions.
  • A year ago Devin Mockobee churned out 968 rushing yards (74.5 per game) and scored nine touchdowns. He tacked on 31 catches for 274 yards .
  • Dylan Downing totaled 351 rushing yards on 93 carries, with four touchdowns on the ground, last year.
  • Last year Charlie Jones hauled in 110 passes for 1,361 yards (97.2 per game) with 12 touchdowns.
  • Payne Durham contributed with 56 catches for 560 yards and eight touchdowns.
  • TJ Sheffield collected 480 receiving yards on 46 catches with four TDs.
  • Jack Sullivan put together a strong body of work a year ago, notching five sacks, six TFL and 31 tackles.
  • Sanoussi Kane totaled 65 tackles, two TFL, and one sack over the course of his last campaign.
  • Jamari Brown picked off three passes and tacked on 14 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and four passes defended last season.

Fresno State Players to Watch (2022 Stats)

  • Jake Haener threw for 2,896 yards while completing 72% of his passes last year, with 20 touchdowns and three interceptions (289.6 yards per game).
  • Jordan Mims churned out 1,364 rushing yards (97.4 per game) and scored 18 touchdowns.
  • Malik Sherrod totaled 433 rushing yards on 81 carries with two touchdowns on the ground last year.
  • Last year Jalen Cropper grabbed 83 passes for 1,083 yards (77.4 per game) and five touchdowns.
  • Nikko Remigio’s stat line last season was 74 catches for 852 yards and six touchdowns. He put up 60.9 receiving yards per game.
  • Zane Pope racked up 616 yards on 48 catches with four touchdowns in 2022.
  • David Perales showed out with an impressive stat line of nine sacks, 12 TFL, 43 tackles, and one interception.
  • Over his 2022 campaign, Levelle Bailey collected 79 tackles and five TFL.
  • Cameron Lockridge intercepted five passes while adding 32 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and nine passes defended a season ago.
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