The Purdue Boilermakers (0-0) face the Fresno State Bulldogs (0-0) on Saturday, September 2, 2023 at Ross-Ade Stadium. The Boilermakers are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 3.5 points. The over/under is set at 46.5 in the contest.
Purdue vs. Fresno State Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue | -3.5 | -115 | -105 | 46.5 | -115 | -105 |
Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Fresno State (+3.5) | Over (46.5) | Fresno State 27 Purdue 25 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison (2022)
| Purdue | Fresno State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 26.6 (57) | 30.6 (33) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 27.4 (100) | 19.4 (25) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 23 (120) | 13 (22) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 19 (40) | 18 (47) |
Purdue vs. Fresno State Betting Insights (2022)
Purdue Stats and Trends
- Purdue won five games against the spread last season, failing to cover nine times.
- The Boilermakers covered the spread twice last season (2-4 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
- Purdue games went over the point total nine out of 14 times last season.
- The Boilermakers’ 14 games last season went over this contest’s total of 46.5 points 10 times.
- Purdue’s outings last season had an average point total of 52.4, 5.9 more points than this game’s over/under.
Fresno State Stats and Trends (2022)
- Fresno State covered seven times in 14 chances against the spread last year.
- The Bulldogs covered the spread once when an underdog by 3.5 points or more last year (in three opportunities).
- A total of seven of Fresno State games last year hit the over.
- The Bulldogs’ games last season had a combined scoring total higher than 46.5 points in eight of 14 outings.
- Fresno State’s outings last year had a 54.1-point average over/under, 7.6 more points than this game’s total.
Purdue Players to Watch (2022 Stats)
- Aidan O’Connell threw for 3,481 yards last season (290.1 per game) while completing 64.1% of his passes (319-for-498), with 22 touchdowns and 13 interceptions.
- A year ago Devin Mockobee churned out 968 rushing yards (74.5 per game) and scored nine touchdowns. He tacked on 31 catches for 274 yards .
- Dylan Downing totaled 351 rushing yards on 93 carries, with four touchdowns on the ground, last year.
- Last year Charlie Jones hauled in 110 passes for 1,361 yards (97.2 per game) with 12 touchdowns.
- Payne Durham contributed with 56 catches for 560 yards and eight touchdowns.
- TJ Sheffield collected 480 receiving yards on 46 catches with four TDs.
- Jack Sullivan put together a strong body of work a year ago, notching five sacks, six TFL and 31 tackles.
- Sanoussi Kane totaled 65 tackles, two TFL, and one sack over the course of his last campaign.
- Jamari Brown picked off three passes and tacked on 14 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and four passes defended last season.
Fresno State Players to Watch (2022 Stats)
- Jake Haener threw for 2,896 yards while completing 72% of his passes last year, with 20 touchdowns and three interceptions (289.6 yards per game).
- Jordan Mims churned out 1,364 rushing yards (97.4 per game) and scored 18 touchdowns.
- Malik Sherrod totaled 433 rushing yards on 81 carries with two touchdowns on the ground last year.
- Last year Jalen Cropper grabbed 83 passes for 1,083 yards (77.4 per game) and five touchdowns.
- Nikko Remigio’s stat line last season was 74 catches for 852 yards and six touchdowns. He put up 60.9 receiving yards per game.
- Zane Pope racked up 616 yards on 48 catches with four touchdowns in 2022.
- David Perales showed out with an impressive stat line of nine sacks, 12 TFL, 43 tackles, and one interception.
- Over his 2022 campaign, Levelle Bailey collected 79 tackles and five TFL.
- Cameron Lockridge intercepted five passes while adding 32 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and nine passes defended a season ago.