Notre Dame vs. Navy: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – August 26, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 18, 2023

Aviva Stadium in Dublin, Ireland is the setting for the No. 13 Notre Dame Fighting Irish’s (0-0) matchup against the Navy Midshipmen (0-0) on August 26, 2023, starting at 2:30 PM ET, airing on NBC. The Fighting Irish are a 20.5-point favorite in the game. The over/under is 49 in the outing.

Notre Dame vs. Navy Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Notre Dame -20.5 -112 -108 49 -110 -110

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Notre Dame vs Navy
ATS Total Score prediction
Navy (+20.5) Over (49) Notre Dame 34 Navy 18

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison (2022)

Notre Dame Navy
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 31.8 (43) 21.9 (108)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 23.0 (39) 24.3 (33)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 17 (62) 14 (32)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 14 (92) 17 (60)

Notre Dame vs. Navy Betting Insights (2022)

Notre Dame Stats and Trends

  • Notre Dame won six games against the spread last season, failing to cover six times.
  • The Fighting Irish did not cover the spread when favored by 20.5 points or more last season (in two opportunities).
  • Last season, eight Notre Dame games went over the point total.
  • Fighting Irish games last season went over this contest’s total of 49 points seven times.
  • Notre Dame had an average total of 49.4 in its outings last season, 0.4 more points than the over/under for this game.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

Notre Dame has an edge against Navy over the past two matchups between these two squads, putting together a 2-0 record in those games. The Fighting Irish and Midshipmen have split those games 1-1 against the spread with those games outpacing the point total on one occasion. Notre Dame put up 69 points in those two matchups compared to Navy’s 38.

Navy Stats and Trends (2022)

  • Navy covered seven times in 11 matchups with a spread last season.
  • Last season, six Navy games hit the over.
  • The Midshipmen’s games last season had a combined scoring total higher than 49 points in five of 12 outings.
  • The average over/under for Navy’s outings last year was 46.8, 2.2 fewer points than this game’s point total.

Notre Dame Players to Watch (2022 Stats)

  • Last year Drew Pyne racked up 2,021 passing yards (183.7 per game) while going 164-for-254 (64.6%) and throwing for 22 touchdowns with six interceptions.
  • Audric Estime ran for 920 yards on 156 attempts (70.8 yards per game) and scored 11 touchdowns a season ago.
  • Last year Logan Diggs ran for 821 yards on 165 carries (68.4 yards per game), with four rushing touchdowns. Diggs also made an impact in the passing game, with 10 catches for 211 yards and two TDs.
  • Last year Michael Mayer was targeted zero times and recorded 67 catches for 809 yards with nine touchdowns.
  • Jayden Thomas’ stat line last year showed 25 grabs for 362 yards and three touchdowns. He averaged 32.9 yards per game.
  • Lorenzo Styles Jr. caught 30 passes for 340 yards and one touchdown, averaging 28.3 yards per game.
  • Isaiah Foskey put together an impressive stat line of eight sacks, 11 TFL and 40 tackles last year.
  • In last year’s campaign, JD Bertrand collected 77 tackles, six TFL, and one sack.
  • Last season, Benjamin Morrison reeled in six interceptions and added 30 tackles, one TFL, and five passes defended.

Navy Players to Watch (2022 Stats)

  • Tai Lavatai threw for 787 yards while completing 46.2% of his passes last year, with five touchdowns and three interceptions (98.4 yards per game). He also carried the ball 115 times for 309 yards and five TDs.
  • Daba Fofana picked up 769 rushing yards (64.1 per game) and scored six touchdowns.
  • Last year Maquel Haywood rushed for 473 yards on 73 carries (39.4 yards per game).
  • Last season Jayden Umbarger was targeted zero times and had 16 catches for 265 yards with two touchdowns.
  • Mark Walker also contributed with 242 yards on 13 grabs and one touchdown. He was targeted zero times, and averaged 30.3 receiving yards last year.
  • Vincent Terrell II collected 221 yards on nine catches with two touchdowns in 2022.
  • John Marshall had an impressive stat line a year ago, collecting 10 sacks, 16 TFL, 95 tackles, and one interception.
  • Elias Larry intercepted two passes and tacked on 19 tackles, one TFL, and two passes defended last season.
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