Chiefs vs. Chargers Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Week 7

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 21, 2023

We have best bets recommendations as the Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) head into a matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (2-3) on Sunday, October 22, 2023 at Arrowhead Stadium on a five-game winning streak.

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Spread: Chiefs (-5.5) to Cover

  • The Chiefs are the bet in this matchup. They’re favored by 3.4 more points in the model than DraftKings (8.9 to 5.5).
  • Kansas City has posted a 4-2-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Chiefs have won twice ATS (2-1) as a 5.5-point favorite or more this year.
  • Kansas City is 2-1 against the spread and 3-0 overall over its last three matchups.
  • Los Angeles has covered the spread one time this season (1-3-1).
  • Los Angeles is 1-1-1 against the spread over its past three games, and has a 3-0 straight-up record in those contests.

Think the Chiefs will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Under 47.5

  • The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 2.8 points higher than the model projection.
  • Los Angeles has played in three games this year where they and their opponents combined to score more than 47.5 points.
  • Chiefs games have hit the over twice this season.
  • This season, games featuring the Chargers have gone over the point total twice.

Will this matchup go under the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Chiefs (-245)

  • Prediction:
    Kansas City 27 – Los Angeles 18
  • Kansas City has won five of the six games it was listed as the moneyline favorite this season (83.3%).
  • Los Angeles lost the only game it has played as the underdog this season.

Which team do you think will end up on top? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Chiefs and Chargers Splits

Chiefs Chargers
Record 5-1 2-3
At Home 2-1 1-2
On the Road 3-0 1-1
In Conference 3-0 1-2
In Division 1-0 1-0
One Possession Games 3-1 2-3
Indoor 1-0 1-0
Outdoor 4-1 1-3

Want more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!

Patrick Mahomes II Passing TDs: Under 2.50 (-210)

  • 2023 Season: 1,593 PASS YDS / 265.5 YPG / 68.3% / 11 TD / 5 INT
  • In Chiefs’ Last 5 Games: 1,367 PASS YDS / 273.4 YPG / 71.4% / 9 TD / 4 INT
  • In Chiefs’ Last 3 Games: 790 PASS YDS / 263.3 YPG / 71.2% / 4 TD / 3 INT
  • Mahomes has a passing touchdown in all six games this season, with multiple passing TDs in four of them.

See all of Mahomes’ props for this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards: Under 63.50 (-115)

  • 2023 Season: 87 CAR / 387 YDS / 64.5 YPG / 3 TD
  • In Chiefs’ Last 5 Games: 79 CAR / 364 YDS / 72.8 YPG / 3 TD
  • In Chiefs’ Last 3 Games: 79 CAR / 364 YDS / 72.8 YPG / 3 TD
  • Pacheco gains 64.5 rushing yards per game this season, which outpaces Sunday’s over/under of 63.5 yards.

Check out all of Pacheco’s props for this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards: Under 75.50 (-115)

  • 2023 Season: 36 REC / 346 YDS / 69.2 YPG / 3 TD
  • In Chiefs’ Last 5 Games: 36 REC / 346 YDS / 69.2 YPG / 3 TD
  • In Chiefs’ Last 3 Games: 25 REC / 251 YDS / 83.7 YPG / 1 TD
  • Kelce is averaging 69.2 receiving yards per game, 6.3 fewer than his prop bet over/under for Sunday’s game (75.5).

Explore all of Kelce’s props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

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