Best bets are available as the New York Giants (1-5) head into a matchup against the Washington Commanders (3-3) on Sunday, October 22, 2023 at MetLife Stadium on a four-game losing streak.
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Spread: Giants (+3) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Giants in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Commanders favored and the difference between the two is 3.9 points.
- New York has covered the spread in a game one time this year (1-5-0).
- The Giants have covered the spread once when an underdog by 3 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
- New York has covered the spread once in its past three matchups while putting together a 1-2 record straight-up in those games.
- Washington has a 3-3-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Commanders have no wins ATS (0-2) as a 3-point favorite or greater this year.
- Washington is 2-1 against the spread in its last three games, and has a 1-2 straight-up record in those matchups.
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Total: Over 37.5
- The model projects a total (45.6 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (37.5 points). Take the over.
- New York has played in four games this season where they combined with their opponents to score more than 37.5 points.
- Commanders games have hit the over three out of six times this season.
- Games featuring the Giants have hit the over just once this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Giants (+136)
- Prediction:
New York 23 – Washington 22 - Washington has been listed as the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they split the two games.
- New York has been the underdog in five games this season, and it has failed to win any of those contests.
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Commanders and Giants Splits
| Commanders | Giants | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-3 | 1-5 |
| At Home | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| On the Road | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| In Conference | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| In Division | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| One Possession Games | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Indoor | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Outdoor | 2-3 | 0-5 |
Interested in more information about this game? Take a look at the full preview here!
Sam Howell Passing TDs: Under 1.50 (-180)
- 2023 Season: 1,500 PASS YDS / 250.0 YPG / 67.8% / 9 TD / 6 INT
- In Commanders’ Last 5 Games: 1,298 PASS YDS / 259.6 YPG / 68.9% / 8 TD / 5 INT
- In Commanders’ Last 3 Games: 829 PASS YDS / 276.3 YPG / 69.6% / 6 TD / 1 INT
- Howell has a passing touchdown in five of six games this season, with multiple passing TDs in three of them.
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Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards: Under 69.50 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 53 CAR / 207 YDS / 69.0 YPG / 1 TD
- Barkley has recorded 69.0 rushing yards per game this season, 0.5 less than Sunday’s over/under.
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Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards: Under 57.50 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 31 REC / 342 YDS / 57.0 YPG / 1 TD
- In Commanders’ Last 5 Games: 29 REC / 311 YDS / 62.2 YPG / 1 TD
- In Commanders’ Last 3 Games: 18 REC / 216 YDS / 72.0 YPG / 0 TD
- McLaurin’s 57.0 receiving yards per game average is 0.5 less than his prop bet total for Sunday’s contest (57.5).
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