Best bets are available as the New England Patriots (1-5) head into a matchup with the Buffalo Bills (4-2) on Sunday, October 22, 2023 at Gillette Stadium on a three-game losing streak.
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Spread: Bills (-7.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Bills favored by 7.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (20.9 points). Put your money on the Bills.
- Buffalo has a 3-3-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Bills have won once ATS (1-1) as a 7.5-point favorite or more this year.
- Buffalo is 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 overall during its past three games.
- New England is 1-5-0 against the spread this season.
- New England is winless against the spread (0-3) and 2-1 overall in its past three matchups.
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Total: Over 40
- The model’s predicted total (40.5 points) and the DraftKings set total (40 points) are virtually the same for this contest.
- New England has played in three games this season where they and their opponents combined to score more than 40 points.
- This season, games featuring the Bills have gone over the point total twice.
- Games featuring the Patriots have hit the over just once this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Bills (-360)
- Prediction:
Buffalo 31 – New England 10 - Buffalo has won 66.7% of the games this season when it was the moneyline favorite (4-2).
- This season, New England has been listed as the underdog in four games and failed to win any of those contests.
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Bills and Patriots Splits
| Bills | Patriots | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-2 | 1-5 |
| At Home | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| On the Road | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| In Conference | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| In Division | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| One Possession Games | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Indoor | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Outdoor | 4-2 | 1-4 |
Interested in more information about this game? Take a look at the full preview here!
Mac Jones Passing TDs: Over 0.50 (-195)
- 2023 Season: 1,208 PASS YDS / 201.3 YPG / 64.2% / 5 TD / 7 INT
- In Patriots’ Last 5 Games: 892 PASS YDS / 178.4 YPG / 63.9% / 2 TD / 6 INT
- In Patriots’ Last 3 Games: 460 PASS YDS / 153.3 YPG / 63.2% / 0 TD / 5 INT
- Jones has thrown for a touchdown three times this season in six games played, including multiple passing TD once.
Check out all of Jones’ props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards: Under 44.50 (-120)
- 2023 Season: 78 CAR / 234 YDS / 39.0 YPG / 2 TD
- In Patriots’ Last 5 Games: 66 CAR / 209 YDS / 41.8 YPG / 2 TD
- In Patriots’ Last 3 Games: 66 CAR / 209 YDS / 41.8 YPG / 2 TD
- Sunday’s rushing yards prop bet for Stevenson is set at 44.5 yards. That’s 5.5 more than his season average of 39.0.
See all of Stevenson’s props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards: Under 87.50 (-125)
- 2023 Season: 49 REC / 620 YDS / 103.3 YPG / 5 TD
- In Bills’ Last 5 Games: 39 REC / 518 YDS / 103.6 YPG / 4 TD
- In Bills’ Last 3 Games: 24 REC / 341 YDS / 113.7 YPG / 4 TD
- Diggs’ 103.3 receiving yards per game average are 15.8 more than his prop bet total in Sunday’s contest (87.5).
See all of Diggs’ props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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