Best bets are available for when the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) host the Houston Texans (2-2) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, October 8, 2023.
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Spread: Texans (+2) to Cover
- The model line is much more favorable to the Texans compared to the DraftKings line, a 11.4 point difference, and has them favored to win Sunday’s game outright. Put your money on the Texans.
- Houston has registered a win-loss record of 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The Texans have covered the spread twice this year (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2-point underdogs.
- Houston is 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 overall in its last three contests.
- Atlanta is 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
- As a 2-point favorite or greater, the Falcons have one win ATS (1-1) this season.
- Atlanta is winless against the spread (0-3) and 1-2 overall during its past three matchups.
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Total: Under 42
- The model projects a total 2.7 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Houston and its opponents have combined to score more than 42 points twice this season.
- Falcons games have gone over the point total just once this season.
- So far this year, two Texans games have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Texans (+110)
- Prediction:
Houston 24 – Atlanta 15 - Atlanta has been the moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games.
- Houston has been an underdog in three games this season and won two (66.7%) of those contests.
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Falcons and Texans Splits
| Falcons | Texans | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| At Home | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| On the Road | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| In Conference | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| In Division | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| One Possession Games | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Indoor | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Outdoor | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Want more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!
Desmond Ridder Passing TDs: Over 0.5 (-260)
- 2023 Season: 744 PASS YDS / 186 YPG / 62.2% / 3 TD / 3 INT
- In Falcons’ Last 5 Games: 744 PASS YDS / 186 YPG / 62.2% / 3 TD / 3 INT
- In Falcons’ Last 3 Games: 629 PASS YDS / 209.7 YPG / 58.4% / 2 TD / 3 INT
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Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards: Under 78.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 53 CAR / 318 YDS / 79.5 YPG / 0 TD
- In Falcons’ Last 5 Games: 53 CAR / 318 YDS / 79.5 YPG / 0 TD
- In Falcons’ Last 3 Games: 53 CAR / 318 YDS / 79.5 YPG / 0 TD
- Sunday’s rushing yards over/under for Robinson is set at 78.5. That is one fewer yard than his season average of 79.5.
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Robinson Receiving Yards: Under 27.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 19 REC / 134 YDS / 33.5 YPG / 1 TD
- In Falcons’ Last 5 Games: 19 REC / 134 YDS / 33.5 YPG / 1 TD
- In Falcons’ Last 3 Games: 13 REC / 107 YDS / 35.7 YPG / 0 TD
- Robinson is averaging 33.5 receiving yards per game, six more than his prop bet over/under for Sunday’s game (27.5).
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