The Washington Commanders (2-2) host a struggling Chicago Bears (0-4) squad on Thursday, October 5, 2023 at FedExField (and best bets are available). The Bears have lost four games in a row.
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Spread: Commanders (-6) to Cover
- Our computers expect the same result as DraftKings, but have the Commanders winning by a considerably greater margin (10.8 points). Take the Commanders.
- Washington is 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The Commanders don’t have a win ATS (0-1) as a 6-point favorite or greater this season.
- Washington is 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 overall during its past three contests.
- Chicago is winless against the spread this year (0-3-1).
- The Bears have not covered the spread when an underdog by 6 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
- Chicago has not covered a spread (0-2-1) while going 1-2 overall over its last three matchups.
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Total: Over 44.5
- The model projects a total (52.6 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (44.5 points). Take the over.
- Chicago has played in three games this year where they combined with their opponents to score more than 44.5 points.
- Commanders games have hit the over twice this season.
- This season, games featuring the Bears have hit the over every time.
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Moneyline Winner: Commanders (-265)
- Prediction:
Washington 32 – Chicago 21 - Washington has been the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won.
- This season, Chicago has been listed as the underdog in three games and failed to win any of those contests.
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Commanders and Bears Splits
| Commanders | Bears | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| At Home | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| On the Road | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| In Conference | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| In Division | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| One Possession Games | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Indoor | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Outdoor | 2-2 | 0-4 |
Interested in more information about this game? Take a look at the full preview here!
Justin Fields Passing TDs: Over 0.5 (-280)
- 2023 Season: 861 PASS YDS / 215.3 YPG / 64.2% / 7 TD / 5 INT
- In Bears’ Last 5 Games: 861 PASS YDS / 215.3 YPG / 64.2% / 7 TD / 5 INT
- In Bears’ Last 3 Games: 645 PASS YDS / 215 YPG / 64% / 6 TD / 4 INT
- Fields has a passing touchdown in all four games this season, with multiple passing TDs in one of them.
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Fields Rushing Yards: Under 47.5 (+100)
- 2023 Season: 28 CAR / 134 YDS / 33.5 YPG / 1 TD
- In Bears’ Last 5 Games: 28 CAR / 134 YDS / 33.5 YPG / 1 TD
- In Bears’ Last 3 Games: 28 CAR / 134 YDS / 33.5 YPG / 1 TD
- Fields’ rushing yards over/under is set at 47.5 yards, compared to his season average of 33.5 yards per game.
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Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards: Under 59.5 (-110)
- 2023 Season: 21 REC / 212 YDS / 53 YPG / 1 TD
- In Commanders’ Last 5 Games: 21 REC / 212 YDS / 53 YPG / 1 TD
- In Commanders’ Last 3 Games: 19 REC / 181 YDS / 60.3 YPG / 1 TD
- McLaurin is averaging 53 receiving yards per game, 6.5 less than the over/under of 59.5 set for Thursday’s matchup.
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