The New Orleans Saints (2-1) take on a familiar opponent (and best bets are available) when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) on Sunday, October 1, 2023 at Caesars Superdome in an NFC South showdown.
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Spread: Buccaneers (+4) to Cover
- The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.2 points of each other.
- Tampa Bay has covered the spread two times this season (2-1-0).
- The Buccaneers have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 4-point underdogs.
- Tampa Bay is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall over its past three matchups.
- New Orleans has put together a 0-2-1 record against the spread this season.
- New Orleans has not covered a spread (0-2-1) while going 2-1 overall over its past three matchups.
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Total: Under 41
- In this game, the model projects a total (36.7 points) slightly lower than the DraftKings over/under (41 points).
- Tampa Bay has combined with its opponent to score more than 41 points once this year.
- So far this season, none of the Saints’ games have gone over the point total.
- So far this year, one Buccaneers game has gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Saints (-198)
- Prediction:
New Orleans 20 – Tampa Bay 16 - New Orleans is 2-1 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games).
- Tampa Bay has split the two games it has played as underdogs this season.
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Saints and Buccaneers Splits
| Saints | Buccaneers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| At Home | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| On the Road | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| In Conference | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| In Division | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| One Possession Games | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Indoor | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Outdoor | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Want more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!
Baker Mayfield Passing TDs: Under 1.5 (-270)
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Rachaad White Rushing Yards: Under 52.5 (-125)
- 2023 Season: 48 CAR / 150 YDS / 50 YPG / 1 TD
- In Buccaneers’ Last 5 Games: 48 CAR / 150 YDS / 50 YPG / 1 TD
- In Buccaneers’ Last 3 Games: 48 CAR / 150 YDS / 50 YPG / 1 TD
- White has recorded 50 rushing yards per game this season, 2.5 less than Sunday’s prop total.
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Chris Olave Receiving Yards: Under 73.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 22 REC / 302 YDS / 100.7 YPG / 0 TD
- In Saints’ Last 5 Games: 22 REC / 302 YDS / 100.7 YPG / 0 TD
- In Saints’ Last 3 Games: 22 REC / 302 YDS / 100.7 YPG / 0 TD
- Olave’s 100.7 receiving yards per game are 27.2 more than his prop bet over/under for Sunday’s game (73.5).
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