Saints vs. Buccaneers Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats – Week 4

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 26, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

The New Orleans Saints (2-1), who lost to the Packers in their last tilt, host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) at Caesars Superdome on October 1 at 1:00 PM ET. The Buccaneers took the L against the Eagles in their last game.

The Buccaneers are 3.5-point underdogs in their matchup with the Saints (the game has an over/under of 40 points).

The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of October 1, 2023 at 11:17 AM ET. Head to the article below for the latest lines for this game and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Saints Vs Buccaneers Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Saints -3.5 40

Saints vs. Buccaneers Predictions

Computer picks for Saints vs Buccaneers
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Saints (-3.5) Under (40)

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Team Stat Rankings

Saints Buccaneers
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 17.7 (25) 19.3 (19)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 16.7 (6) 19.7 (9)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 4.8 (20) 4.7 (23)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 4.6 (6) 5.6 (26)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 3 (10) 2 (5)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 5 (7) 7 (4)

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Saints Betting Insights

  • The Saints are winless against the spread this year.
  • No Saints game has gone over the point total this season.
  • The point total average for New Orleans games this season is 40.7, 0.7 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Buccaneers Betting Insights

  • The Buccaneers have two wins against the spread this season.
  • As a 3.5-point underdog or greater, Tampa Bay has one win ATS (1-1) this year.
  • The Buccaneers have had one game (out of three) go over the total this season.
  • Tampa Bay games have finished with over 40 points one time this season.
  • The average total points scored in Buccaneers games this year (40) is 3.3 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Saints Players to Watch

  • Jameis Winston has recorded 101 yards (101 ypg) on 10-of-16 passing this season.
  • Taysom Hill has 91 rushing yards on 16 carries.
  • Tony Jones Jr. has been handed the ball 21 times this year and racked up 70 yards (23.3 per game) with two touchdowns.
  • Chris Olave’s 302 yards as a receiver lead the team. He’s been targeted 32 times and has registered 22 receptions.
  • Michael Thomas has hauled in 18 receptions totaling 166 yards this campaign.
  • Rashid Shaheed’s nine receptions are good enough for 152 yards and one touchdown.
  • Carl Granderson paces the team with 2.5 sacks, and also has two TFL and 10 tackles.
  • Pete Werner is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s totaled 26 tackles and 0.5 sacks.
  • Marshon Lattimore has a team-high one interception to go along with 14 tackles and six passes defended.

Buccaneers Players to Watch

  • Baker Mayfield has thrown for 636 yards (212 ypg) to lead Tampa Bay, completing 66.7% of his passes and collecting four touchdown passes and one interception this season. He is also a playmaker on the ground, racking up 30 yards (10 ypg) on 15 carries.
  • Rachaad White has rushed for 150 yards on 48 carries this year while scoring one time on the ground. He’s also added 10 catches, totaling 64 yards.
  • Mike Evans’ 297 receiving yards (99 yards per game) lead the team. He has 17 catches on 28 targets with three touchdowns.
  • Chris Godwin has racked up 141 receiving yards (47 yards per game) on 13 receptions.
  • Cade Otton has racked up 76 reciving yards (25.3 ypg) this season.
  • Joe Tryon has two sacks to pace the team, and also has three TFL and seven tackles.
  • Tampa Bay’s leading tackler, Ryan Neal, has 25 tackles and two TFL this year.
  • Christian Izien has a team-leading two interceptions to go along with 13 tackles, one TFL, and two passes defended.

How to Bet on Saints vs Buccaneers

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