Best bets are available as the Miami Dolphins (3-0) enter a matchup against the Buffalo Bills (2-1) on Sunday, October 1, 2023 at Highmark Stadium on a three-game winning streak.
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Spread: Bills (-2.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Bills favored by 2.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (6.2 points). Put your money on the Bills.
- Buffalo is 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
- As a 2.5-point favorite or greater, the Bills have two wins ATS (2-1).
- Buffalo is 2-1 against the spread in its last three games, and has a 2-1 straight-up record in those contests.
- Miami is a perfect 3-0-0 against the spread so far this season.
- The Dolphins have won their only game this year when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
- Miami is a perfect 3-0 against the spread in its last three games, and has a 2-1 straight-up record in those matchups.
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Total: Over 53.5
- The DraftKings total for this game, 53.5 points, and the model’s projected total, 54.5 points, are only 1.0 point apart.
- Miami has combined with its opponents to score more than 53.5 points twice this season.
- So far this season, one of the Bills games has hit the over.
- So far this season, two Dolphins games have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Bills (-142)
- Prediction:
Buffalo 30 – Miami 24 - Buffalo is 2-1 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games).
- Miami won the only game it has played as the underdog this season.
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Bills and Dolphins Splits
| Bills | Dolphins | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| At Home | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| On the Road | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| In Conference | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| In Division | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| One Possession Games | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Indoor | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Outdoor | 2-1 | 3-0 |
Interested in more information about this game? Take a look at the full preview here!
Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards: Under 274.50 (-115)
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James Cook Rushing Yards: Under 59.50 (-110)
- 2023 Season: 44 CAR / 267 YDS / 89.0 YPG / 0 TD
- In Bills’ Last 5 Games: 44 CAR / 267 YDS / 89.0 YPG / 0 TD
- In Bills’ Last 3 Games: 44 CAR / 267 YDS / 89.0 YPG / 0 TD
- Sunday’s rushing yards prop bet for Cook is set at 59.5. That’s 29.5 fewer yards than his season average of 89.0.
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Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards: Under 88.50 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 25 REC / 412 YDS / 137.3 YPG / 4 TD
- In Dolphins’ Last 5 Games: 25 REC / 412 YDS / 137.3 YPG / 4 TD
- In Dolphins’ Last 3 Games: 25 REC / 412 YDS / 137.3 YPG / 4 TD
- Hill’s 137.3 receiving yards per game average is 48.8 more than his prop bet over/under for Sunday’s outing (88.5).
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