The NFL’s top scoring offense, the Miami Dolphins (3-0), visit the Buffalo Bills (2-1) and their second-ranked scoring offense on Sunday, October 1 at 1:00 PM ET. The Dolphins score 43.3 points per game, while the Bills average 30.3 per game.
The Bills (-2.5) are slight favorites in their matchup with the Dolphins. The over/under is set at 53.5 points.
The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of October 1, 2023 at 11:16 AM ET. Head to the article below for the latest lines for this outing and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Bills Vs Dolphins Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bills | -2.5 | 53.5 |
Bills vs. Dolphins Predictions
| ATS pick | Over/Under pick |
|---|---|
| Bills (-2.5) | Over (53.5) |
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Team Stat Rankings
| Bills | Dolphins | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 30.3 (4) | 43.3 (1) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 11.7 (2) | 23.7 (19) |
| Off. Yards per Play (Rank) | 5.6 (9) | 8.4 (1) |
| Def. Yards per Play (Rank) | 5.3 (15) | 5.3 (15) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 5 (21) | 3 (10) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 9 (1) | 5 (7) |
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Bills Betting Insights
- The Bills have won twice against the spread this season.
- Buffalo has two wins ATS (2-1) as a 2.5-point or higher favorite in 2023.
- One Bills game (out of three) has gone over the point total this season.
- The over/under for this game is 53.5 points, 8.3 more than the average point total for Buffalo games this season (playoffs included).
Dolphins Betting Insights
- The Dolphins are unbeaten against the spread this year.
- Miami has yet to lose ATS (1-0) as a 2.5-point underdog or more this season.
- The Dolphins have played two games (out of three) which finished over the total this season.
- Miami games have finished with over 53.5 points two times this season.
- Dolphins games average 48.0 total points, 5.5 fewer than the total for this matchup.
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Bills Players to Watch
- Josh Allen has been a dual threat for Buffalo this season. He has 728 passing yards, completing 72.7% of his passes and collecting five touchdown passes and four interceptions this season. He’s rushed for 89 yards (29.7 ypg) on 12 carries with one rushing touchdown.
- The team’s top rusher, James Cook, has carried the ball 44 times for 267 yards (89.0 per game). He’s also caught 10 passes for 67 yards.
- Stefon Diggs leads his squad with 279 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 25 receptions (out of 32 targets) and scored one touchdown.
- Gabriel Davis has grabbed nine passes while averaging 53.0 yards per game and scoring two touchdowns.
- Dalton Kincaid has racked up 11 catches for 72 yards, an average of 24.0 yards per game..
- Leonard Floyd has racked up 3.5 sacks to pace the team, while also recording 3.0 TFL and eight tackles.
- So far Terrel Bernard leads the team in both tackles and interceptions. He has racked up 24 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and two interceptions this season.
Dolphins Players to Watch
- Tua Tagovailoa has racked up 1,024 yards (341.3 ypg) while completing 71.3% of his passes and recording eight touchdown passes with two interceptions this season.
- The team’s top rusher, Raheem Mostert, has carried the ball 41 times for 240 yards (80.0 per game) with six touchdowns. He’s also caught 10 passes for 79 yards and one touchdown.
- Devon Achane has compiled 208 yards on 19 carries with two touchdowns, while also catching five passes for 34 yards and two scores.
- Tyreek Hill has racked up 412 receiving yards on 25 receptions to pace his squad this season while scoring four touchdowns as a receiver.
- Jaylen Waddle has eight receptions (on 11 targets) for a total of 164 yards (82.0 yards per game) this year.
- Braxton Berrios’ seven receptions (on 10 targets) have netted him 103 yards (34.3 ypg).
- David Long has collected 1.0 sack to lead the team, while also recording 1.0 TFL and 16 tackles.
- Jevon Holland is the team’s leading tackler this year. He’s picked up 33 tackles and 2.0 TFL.
- Emmanuel Ogbah has picked off a team-high one pass. He also has four tackles, 1.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and one pass defended to his name.
How to Bet on Bills vs Dolphins
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