Check out best bets for when NFC North foes match up as the Detroit Lions (2-1) and the Green Bay Packers (2-1) square off on Thursday, September 28, 2023 at Lambeau Field.
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Spread: Packers (+2.5) to Cover
- The model line is much more favorable to the Packers compared to the DraftKings line, a 3.1 point difference, and has them favored to win Thursday’s game outright. Put your money on the Packers.
- Green Bay has covered the spread three times this year (3-0-0).
- The Packers have covered the spread when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
- Green Bay has covered the spread in each of its past three contests, while going 2-1 overall.
- Detroit is 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
- As a 2.5-point favorite or greater, the Lions have one win ATS (1-1) this season.
- Detroit has covered the spread twice in its last three matchups while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
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Total: Over 45
- The model projects a total 1.2 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- Green Bay and its opponents have combined to score more than 45 points twice this season.
- Lions games have hit the over once this season.
- This year, games featuring the Packers have hit the over twice.
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Moneyline Winner: Packers (+120)
- Prediction:
Green Bay 24 – Detroit 23 - Detroit has been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they split the two games.
- This season, Green Bay has been the underdog three times and won two of those games.
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Lions and Packers Splits
| Lions | Packers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| At Home | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| On the Road | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| In Conference | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| In Division | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| One Possession Games | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Indoor | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Outdoor | 1-0 | 2-0 |
Interested in more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!
Jared Goff Passing Yards: Under 253.5 (-125)
- 2023 Season: 819 PASS YDS / 273 YPG / 69.9% / 5 TD / 2 INT
- In Lions’ Last 5 Games: 819 PASS YDS / 273 YPG / 69.9% / 5 TD / 2 INT
- In Lions’ Last 3 Games: 819 PASS YDS / 273 YPG / 69.9% / 5 TD / 2 INT
- Goff throws for 273 passing yards per game this season, which is more than his prop bet total for this matchup of 253.5.
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Aaron Jones Rushing Yards: Under 47.5 (-120)
- 2023 Season: 9 CAR / 41 YDS / 41 YPG / 1 TD
- Jones’ rushing yards prop bet is set at 47.5 yards, compared to his season average of 41 yards per game.
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Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards: Under 70.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 21 REC / 275 YDS / 91.7 YPG / 1 TD
- In Lions’ Last 5 Games: 21 REC / 275 YDS / 91.7 YPG / 1 TD
- In Lions’ Last 3 Games: 21 REC / 275 YDS / 91.7 YPG / 1 TD
- St. Brown’s 91.7 receiving yards per game average are 21.2 more than his prop bet over/under in Thursday’s contest (70.5).
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