Lions vs. Packers Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats – Week 4

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 26, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

When the Detroit Lions (2-1) and the Green Bay Packers (2-1) match up on Thursday, September 28 at 8:15 PM ET, they will both be looking to maintain momentum after winning their last game. The Lions won 20-6 against the Falcons, and the Packers are coming off an 18-17 victory over the Saints.

The Lions are the favorite (-2.5) in an expected close matchup against the Packers. The total is set at 45 points.

The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of September 28, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Check out the article below for the latest odds for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Lions Vs Packers Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Lions -2.5 45

Lions vs. Packers Predictions

Computer picks for Lions vs Packers
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Packers (+2.5) Over (45)

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Team Stat Rankings

Lions Packers
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 24 (12) 26.7 (8)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 21 (15) 20.7 (13)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.8 (5) 5 (15)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 4.6 (5) 4.9 (11)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 5 (21) 1 (1)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 2 (22) 3 (19)

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Lions Betting Insights

  • The Lions have posted two wins against the spread this year.
  • As a 2.5-point or greater favorite, Detroit has one win ATS (1-1) this season.
  • The Lions have had one game (out of three) hit the over this year.
  • Detroit games average 49.3 total points per game this season (playoffs included), 4.3 greater than the over/under for this matchup.

Packers Betting Insights

  • The Packers are unbeaten against the spread this season.
  • Green Bay has yet to lose ATS (1-0) as a 2.5-point underdog or more this season.
  • Two of the Packers’ three games in 2023 have hit the over.
  • Green Bay games have gone over 45 points scored twice this season.
  • Packers games average 41 total points, four fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Lions Players to Watch

  • Jared Goff has thrown for 819 yards (273 ypg) to lead Detroit, completing 69.9% of his passes and tossing five touchdown passes compared to two interceptions this season.
  • David Montgomery has carried the ball 37 times for a team-high 141 yards on the ground and has found the end zone two times as a runner.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has been handed the ball 31 times this year and racked up 139 yards (46.3 per game). He’s also helped out in the pass game with 10 grabs for 59 yards
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 275 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 27 times and has collected 21 receptions and one touchdown.
  • Sam LaPorta has hauled in 18 passes while averaging 62 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
  • Josh Reynolds has a total of 146 receiving yards this year, grabbing nine throws and scoring two touchdowns.
  • Aidan Hutchinson has two sacks to lead the team, and also has one TFL and 10 tackles.
  • Jerry Jacobs, Detroit’s leading tackler, has 20 tackles this year.
  • Brian Branch leads the team with one interception, while also recording 18 tackles, three TFL, and three passes defended.

Packers Players to Watch

  • Jordan Love has thrown for 655 yards on 51-of-96 passing with seven touchdowns and one interception this season. He has chipped on the ground, as well, with 74 yards and one rushing touchdown.
  • The team’s top rusher, A.J. Dillon, has carried the ball 39 times for 107 yards (35.7 per game).
  • Jayden Reed’s 148 receiving yards (49.3 yards per game) are a team high. He has nine receptions on 20 targets with two touchdowns.
  • Romeo Doubs has put up a 129-yard season with three touchdowns. He’s caught 11 passes on 20 targets.
  • Luke Musgrave’s 15 targets have resulted in 11 receptions for 124 yards.
  • Rashan Gary has racked up 3.5 sacks to lead the team, while also picking up three TFL and five tackles.
  • Quay Walker has 28 tackles, one TFL, and one interception, and leads the team in both tackles and interceptions.

How to Bet on Lions vs Packers

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