Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 1, 2023

The Seattle Mariners (55-51) face the Boston Red Sox (56-50) a game after Cal Raleigh homered twice in a 6-2 victory over the Red Sox. The game begins at 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Mariners are favored at home (-136) against the Red Sox (+114). The game’s over/under is 8.

The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of August 1, 2023 at 9:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -136 +114 8

Mariners Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mariners have won 39 out of the 71 games, or 54.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Seattle has a record of 24-20 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -136 on the moneyline.
  • The Mariners have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 52 of 106 opportunities.
  • The Mariners are 50-56-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 17
ERA 3.94
K/9 9.8

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have come away with 29 wins in the 57 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Boston has been victorious 20 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over in 54 of its 106 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Red Sox have an against the spread record of 55-51-0 in 106 games with a line this season.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 14
ERA 3.48
K/9 8.9

If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Mariners or Red Sox, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!

Mariners Probable Pitcher – Bryce Miller

  • Miller and his team are 8-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up six earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
  • Miller will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • He has four appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 14 chances this season.
  • Miller’s team has won 88.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-1).
  • Miller’s team has won nine of his 14 starts this season.
  • In games Miller has started this season, the teams are 6-8-0 at hitting the over.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 51 44.2 76 3.43 14 1
Justin Topa 45 41.2 38 2.59 16 2
Gabe Speier 44 36 37 3.75 10 0
Tayler Saucedo 32 31.2 32 2.27 1 0
Andres Munoz 26 24.2 34 2.92 12 2

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello

  • The Red Sox are sending Bello (7-6) to make his 18th start of the season. He is 7-6 with a 3.66 ERA and 82 strikeouts through 96 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Wednesday, the right-hander threw six innings against the Atlanta Braves, allowing three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • Bello enters the matchup with 13 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
  • So far during the 2023 campaign he has surrendered at least one earned run in all of his outings.
  • The Red Sox have a 6-2 record in Bello’s eight starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Bello’s team has won 11 of his 17 starts.
  • Bello has had 17 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and eight of those games finished over the total.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Josh Winckowski 36 58 50 2.95 12 2
Chris Martin 36 33.1 30 1.62 16 1
Kenley Jansen 36 34.1 41 3.15 0 23
Brennan Bernardino 25 36 41 2.5 3 0
Richard Bleier 22 26.2 14 4.72 2 0

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners have a 27-10 record this season in games when they smash two or more homers.
  • Seattle is 16-1 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits 65 times this season, and has a 43-22 record in those games.
  • Seattle is 48-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Mariners have drawn five or more walks in 37 games this season, and are 25-12 in those contests.

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 34 games this season and are 24-10 in those matchups.
  • In 33 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 24-9.
  • They have a record of 47-30 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 56 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 46-10.
  • In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-10

Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-136)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!

Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy