The Miami Marlins (57-50) host the Philadelphia Phillies (57-49) at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday, a game featuring two of the league’s most consistent batters. Luis Arraez has an average of .381 (first in league) for the Marlins, and Bryson Stott ranks ninth at .303 for the Phillies.
The favored Marlins (-134 moneyline odds) take the field at home against the Phillies (+113). The total for the game is set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of August 1, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -134 | +113 | 7.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been favorites in 54 games this season and won 33 (61.1%) of those contests.
- Miami has a record of 24-8 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -134 on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Miami has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 50 of 107 chances this season.
- The Marlins have an ATS record of 48-59-0 in 107 games with a spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been victorious in 17, or 45.9%, of the 37 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Philadelphia has won six of 17 games when listed as at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 46.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of its 106 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Phillies have posted a record of 45-61-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.38 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara
- Alcantara and his team are 6-15-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in nine innings against the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Alcantara has pitched five or more innings in 18 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 21 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- Alcantara’s team has been victorious in 45.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-6.
- Alcantara’s team has won eight of his 21 starts.
- Games Alcantara has started this season hit the over 14 times in 21 chances.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 45 | 50.2 | 71 | 3.02 | 21 | 2 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 41 | 52.1 | 53 | 3.78 | 13 | 0 |
| David Robertson | 41 | 45 | 49 | 2.00 | 7 | 16 |
| Steven Okert | 38 | 39 | 52 | 3.00 | 10 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 37 | 37 | 28 | 4.86 | 6 | 3 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez
- The Phillies are sending Suarez (2-5) to the mound for his 15th start of the season. He is 2-5 with a 4.22 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 79 2/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander’s most recent appearance was on Wednesday against the Baltimore Orioles, when he went six innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Suarez will try to pitch five or more innings for his 13th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.6 innings per outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 14 appearances this season.
- The Phillies have a 3-3 record in Suarez’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Suarez’s team has put together an 8-6 record over his 14 starts.
- Suarez has had 14 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in seven of those outings.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 48 | 46 | 65 | 3.13 | 4 | 18 |
| Gregory Soto | 45 | 40.1 | 40 | 4.24 | 16 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 34 | 28.1 | 30 | 4.76 | 10 | 0 |
| Yunior Marte | 32 | 30 | 28 | 5.10 | 2 | 2 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 29 | 39.2 | 34 | 2.27 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have a 13-19 record this season in games when they smash at least two home runs.
- Miami has collected at least five extra-base hits in 19 games this season, and has gone 18-1 in those outings.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits in 84 games this season, and is 47-37 in those contests.
- Miami has a 39-11 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Marlins are 12-11 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They have won 22 of the 30 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-6.
- They have won 44 of the 69 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 46 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 39-7.
- They have won 25 of their 36 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-134)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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