The Cincinnati Reds (59-49) ride a three-game winning streak into a home contest versus the Chicago Cubs (53-53), at 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday.
The Cubs are favored at home (-167) against the Reds (+140). The over/under in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of August 1, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -167 | +140 | 8.5 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 52 times this season and won 29, or 55.8%, of those games.
- Chicago has a record of 5-4 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -167 on the moneyline.
- The Cubs have a 62.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of its 106 games with a total this season.
- The Cubs are 53-53-0 ATS in their 106 games with a spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have won in 40, or 50%, of the 80 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 14 times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 41.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Contests with Cincinnati has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 57 of 108 chances this season.
- The Reds have an against the spread mark of 68-40-0 in 108 games with a line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.21 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele
- Steele’s team is 10-9-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on five hits in a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Steele has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 19 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
- Steele’s team is 8-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Steele’s team has a 12-7 record in his starts this season.
- In games Steele has started this season, the teams are 9-10-0 at hitting the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 44 | 46 | 61 | 3.72 | 9 | 0 |
| Michael Fulmer | 43 | 47 | 49 | 4.21 | 8 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 43 | 45 | 57 | 3.00 | 18 | 3 |
| Jose Cuas | 42 | 41.2 | 52 | 4.54 | 4 | 0 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 38 | 46.1 | 52 | 2.33 | 7 | 12 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Ben Lively
- Lively (4-6) gets the starting nod for the Reds in his 13th start of the season. He has a 3.76 ERA in 67 2/3 innings pitched, with 62 strikeouts.
- The righty last appeared on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he went 6 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Lively is trying to secure his ninth start of five or more innings this season in this game.
- In two of his appearances this season he did not give up an earned run.
- The Reds have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Lively’s starts this season, and they went 3-4 in those games.
- Lively’s team has won six of his 12 starts.
- Lively has started 12 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in six of them.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 48 | 52.2 | 46 | 3.08 | 16 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 48 | 41.1 | 39 | 2.18 | 12 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 48 | 52.2 | 48 | 3.59 | 9 | 2 |
| Alexis Diaz | 48 | 47.1 | 68 | 2.09 | 1 | 32 |
| Lucas Sims | 43 | 42.1 | 51 | 3.61 | 18 | 2 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have put up two or more home runs in 41 games this season, and are 25-16 in those outings.
- Chicago is 17-3 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched at least eight hits 71 times this season, and has a 50-21 record in those games.
- Chicago is 41-14 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Cubs are 22-15 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 30-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 26-6.
- They have a record of 54-20 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cincinnati has won 58 of its 68 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 18-20 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Cubs vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-167)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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