Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 1, 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays (59-48) will look for Whit Merrifield to extend a 10-game hitting streak against the Baltimore Orioles (65-41) on Tuesday at 7:07 PM ET, at Rogers Centre.

The Blue Jays are projected as a tight favorite (-115 moneyline odds) against the Orioles (-103). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.

The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of August 1, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Orioles Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -115 -103 8.5

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been favorites in 76 games this season and won 43 (56.6%) of those contests.
  • Toronto is 38-31 this season when entering a game favored by -115 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Blue Jays have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Toronto has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 44 of 107 chances this season.
  • The Blue Jays are 50-57-0 ATS in their 107 games with a spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 17
ERA 3.36
K/9 11.1

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been underdogs in 58 games this season and have come away with the win 32 times (55.2%) in those contests.
  • Baltimore has a mark of 29-19 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -103 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 50.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 106 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 106 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 65-41-0 against the spread.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 10
ERA 3.72
K/9 8.9

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Hyun-Jin Ryu

  • Ryu and his team were 3-3-0 ATS in his six appearances with a spread last season.
  • The last time the lefty took the mound was on Wednesday, June 1 last season, when he pitched four innings in a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
  • Ryu and his team won as favorites in 60% of his five appearances last season with a moneyline.
  • His team finished with a record of 4-2 in games he pitched last season.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Mayza 49 37 37 1.22 15 1
Yimi Garcia 48 45 53 4.40 10 3
Erik Swanson 48 48.2 55 3.51 26 2
Jordan Hicks 39 41.2 59 3.67 6 8
Génesis Cabrera 34 37 43 4.38 6 0

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish

  • Bradish gets the start for the Orioles, his 20th of the season. He is 6-6 with a 3.29 ERA and 95 strikeouts in 104 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Wednesday against the Philadelphia Phillies, the righty tossed 6 2/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Bradish will try to continue a 10-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 innings per appearance).
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in five of his 19 outings this season.
  • The Orioles have a 4-6 record in Bradish’s 10 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Bradish’s team has put together an 11-8 record over his 19 starts.
  • Bradish has started 19 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Baumann 46 51.2 53 3.48 6 0
Yeinier Cano 46 51.1 46 1.93 25 4
Felix Bautista 45 51.2 101 0.87 0 29
Bryan Baker 44 42 51 3.64 11 0
Danny Coulombe 44 37 46 2.92 19 1

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have a 25-11 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Toronto has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and has gone 15-5 in those outings.
  • The team has collected at least eight hits in 82 games this season, and is 53-29 in those contests.
  • Toronto is 42-13 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Blue Jays have drawn at least five walks in 27 games this season, and are 17-10 in those contests.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They are 29-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Baltimore has won 26 of its 29 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 45-21 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 57 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 48-9.
  • In 27 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 21-6

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-115)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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