The Houston Astros (60-47) host the Cleveland Guardians (53-54) at 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday.
The Astros are favored at home (-188) against the Guardians (+156). The over/under for this game is set at 7.5.
The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of August 1, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Guardians Betting Lines
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Astros | -188 | +156 | 7.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- This season, the Astros have been favored 74 times and won 41, or 55.4%, of those games.
- This season Houston has won 17 of its 25 games, or 68%, when favored by at least -188 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 65.3% chance of a victory for the Astros.
- Houston’s games have gone over the total in 53 of its 107 chances.
- The Astros are 54-53-0 ATS in their 107 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
HR | 19 |
ERA | 4.75 |
K/9 | 7.7 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 47 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (42.6%) in those games.
- Cleveland has been listed as an underdog of +156 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 39.1% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Cleveland has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 47 of 107 chances this season.
- The Guardians have posted a record of 54-53-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
HR | 11 |
ERA | 3.58 |
K/9 | 7.2 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez
- When Valdez starts, his team is 9-11-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 3 2/3 innings while giving up six earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
- Valdez has 18 starts of five or more innings this season in 20 chances. He averages 6.3 innings per outing.
- He has made 20 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Valdez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 9-9.
- In games Valdez has started, his team is 11-9.
- Games Valdez has started this season hit the over 11 times in 20 chances.
Astros Relief Pitchers
Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryan Abreu | 49 | 50.1 | 77 | 2.50 | 18 | 3 |
Phil Maton | 48 | 50 | 54 | 3.24 | 8 | 1 |
Ryan Pressly | 46 | 48.1 | 51 | 3.17 | 0 | 25 |
Héctor Neris | 45 | 44.2 | 50 | 1.41 | 21 | 2 |
Kendall Graveman | 45 | 45 | 43 | 3.40 | 8 | 8 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Gavin Williams
- Williams (1-2 with a 3.35 ERA and 31 strikeouts in 37 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Guardians, his eighth of the season.
- The righty’s last time out was on Wednesday against the Kansas City Royals, when he went four scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
- Williams has pitched five or more innings in a game five times this season entering this matchup.
- In two of his seven total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Guardians are 1-2 in Williams’ three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Williams’ team has compiled a 5-2 record over his seven starts.
- Williams has had seven starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those games finished over the total.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emmanuel Clase | 48 | 48.2 | 43 | 2.96 | 0 | 28 |
Trevor Stephan | 46 | 45.1 | 46 | 3.18 | 14 | 2 |
Enyel De Los Santos | 45 | 44 | 38 | 2.45 | 9 | 0 |
Eli Morgan | 41 | 43.1 | 44 | 3.32 | 7 | 1 |
Nick Sandlin | 38 | 41.1 | 47 | 3.48 | 5 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have hit at least two long balls in 34 games this season, and are 25-9 in those contests.
- Houston has gone 16-5 in its 21 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits 72 times this season, and has a 56-16 record in those games.
- Houston is 51-9 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Astros are 25-7 in the 32 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They are 16-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cleveland has won 16 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 68 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 37-31.
- In 41 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 33-8.
- They have won 15 of their 24 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Astros vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-188)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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