The Seattle Mariners (54-51) and Boston Red Sox (56-49) clash in the first of a three-game series on Monday at T-Mobile Park, at 9:40 PM ET. The Mariners are coming off a series victory over the Diamondbacks, and the Red Sox a series loss to the Giants.
The Red Sox are an underdog (+107 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Mariners (-127). The total for this game is set at 7.5.
The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of July 31, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -127 | +107 | 7.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have won 38 out of the 70 games, or 54.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Seattle has won 29 of its 53 games, or 54.7%, when favored by at least -127 on the moneyline.
- The Mariners have a 55.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of 105 games with a total.
- The Mariners are 49-56-0 against the spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.74 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 56 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (51.8%) in those games.
- Boston has a mark of 23-17 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +107 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of its 105 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Red Sox are 55-50-0 against the spread in their 105 games that had a posted line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.17 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby
- Kirby and his team have a record of 10-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw four innings against the Minnesota Twins, giving up five earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Kirby has 16 starts of five or more innings this season in 20 chances. He averages 6.2 innings per outing.
- He has made 20 appearances and finished four of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Kirby starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 9-6.
- Kirby’s team has an 11-9 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Kirby’s 20 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 50 | 43.1 | 76 | 3.53 | 14 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 45 | 43 | 60 | 2.93 | 0 | 21 |
| Justin Topa | 45 | 41.2 | 38 | 2.59 | 16 | 2 |
| Gabe Speier | 43 | 35 | 37 | 3.86 | 10 | 0 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 31 | 31.1 | 32 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta
- Pivetta makes the start for the Red Sox, his ninth of the season. He is 7-5 with a 4.11 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 81 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance — out of the bullpen on Tuesday — the righty threw five scoreless innings against the Atlanta Braves while surrendering three hits.
- Pivetta has put together nine starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
- He will attempt for his fourth straight appearance without allowing an earned run.
- The Red Sox are 4-3 in Pivetta’s seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Pivetta’s team has won four of his eight starts.
- Pivetta’s starts hit the over on the run total four times in eight games with a set total this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 36 | 58 | 50 | 2.95 | 12 | 2 |
| Chris Martin | 36 | 33.1 | 30 | 1.62 | 16 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 36 | 34.1 | 41 | 3.15 | 0 | 23 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 25 | 36 | 41 | 2.5 | 3 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 22 | 26.2 | 14 | 4.72 | 2 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners are 26-10 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Seattle is 16-1 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 42-22 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Seattle has a 47-7 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mariners have drawn at least five walks in 37 games this season, and are 25-12 in those contests.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 34 games this season and are 24-10 in those matchups.
- Boston has won 24 of its 33 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 47 of the 76 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 56 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 46-10.
- They have won 13 of their 23 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-127)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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