Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians (53-53) into a matchup against the Houston Astros (59-47), after his two-homer showing in a 5-0 victory over the White Sox, beginning at 8:10 PM ET on Monday.
The Guardians are an underdog (+142 moneyline odds) when they take on the Astros (-169). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of July 31, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -169 | +142 | 9 |
Astros Betting Insights
- This season, the Astros have been favored 73 times and won 40, or 54.8%, of those games.
- Houston has entered 32 games this season favored by -169 or more and is 21-11 in those contests.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 62.8% chance to win.
- Games involving Houston has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 52 of 106 chances this season.
- The Astros are 53-53-0 against the spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have won in 20, or 43.5%, of the 46 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Cleveland has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +142 or worse on the moneyline this season.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 41.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of its 106 opportunities.
- The Guardians are 54-52-0 against the spread in their 106 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.34 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – J.P. France
- France’s team is 7-7-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw seven innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up no earned runs while allowing five hits.
- France will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 14 chances this season.
- France’s team has won 54.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-5).
- France’s team has an 8-6 record in his starts this season.
- Games France has started this season hit the over seven times in 14 chances.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 48 | 49.1 | 75 | 2.55 | 17 | 3 |
| Phil Maton | 48 | 50 | 54 | 3.24 | 8 | 1 |
| Héctor Neris | 45 | 44.2 | 50 | 1.41 | 21 | 2 |
| Kendall Graveman | 45 | 45 | 43 | 3.40 | 8 | 8 |
| Ryan Pressly | 45 | 47.1 | 50 | 3.23 | 0 | 24 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Noah Syndergaard
- Syndergaard makes the start for the Guardians, his 13th of the season. He is 1-4 with a 7.16 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 55 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out — while pitching for the Los Angeles Dodgers — the right-hander tossed three innings against the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday, June 7, giving up six earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Syndergaard heads into this game with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 12 outings this season.
- The Guardians were the underdog on the moneyline for three Syndergaard starts this season — they lost every game.
- Syndergaard’s team has a 4-8 record in his starts this season.
- Syndergaard’s starts went over the run total eight times in 12 games with a set total this season.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 48 | 48.2 | 43 | 2.96 | 0 | 28 |
| Trevor Stephan | 46 | 45.1 | 46 | 3.18 | 14 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 45 | 44 | 38 | 2.45 | 9 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 40 | 43 | 44 | 2.72 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 37 | 41 | 46 | 3.51 | 5 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have a 25-9 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Houston has gone 16-5 in its 21 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 72 games this season, and is 56-16 in those contests.
- Houston is 50-9 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Astros are 24-7 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They have won 16 of the 21 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cleveland has gone 16-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 67 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 37-30.
- In 41 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 33-8.
- They have won 15 of their 24 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Astros vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-169)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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