The Chicago Cubs (53-52) host the Cincinnati Reds (58-49) in NL Central play, at 8:05 PM ET on Monday.
The Cubs are favored at home (-127) against the Reds (+107). The over/under for this game is 8.5.
The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of July 31, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -127 | +107 | 8.5 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- This season, the Cubs have been favored 51 times and won 29, or 56.9%, of those games.
- This season Chicago has won 20 of its 31 games, or 64.5%, when favored by at least -127 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 55.9%.
- Games involving Chicago has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 54 of 105 chances this season.
- The Cubs are 53-52-0 against the spread in their 105 chances this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have come away with 39 wins in the 79 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 30 times in 65 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over in 56 of its 107 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Reds have posted a record of 67-40-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 2.79 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman
- Stroman’s team is 11-11-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up seven earned runs and allowed nine hits in 3 1/3 innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox on Thursday.
- Stroman has made 18 starts of five or more innings in 22 chances this season, and averages 5.7 frames when he pitches.
- He has made 22 appearances and finished six of them without allowing an earned run.
- Stroman’s team is 7-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Stroman’s team has won 12 of his 22 starts.
- Out of Stroman’s 22 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 44 | 46 | 61 | 3.72 | 9 | 0 |
| Michael Fulmer | 43 | 47 | 49 | 4.21 | 8 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 42 | 44 | 55 | 3.07 | 18 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 38 | 46.1 | 52 | 2.33 | 7 | 12 |
| Javier Assad | 17 | 46.1 | 36 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Andrew Abbott
- Abbott makes the start for the Reds, his 11th of the season. He is 6-2 with a 1.90 ERA and 66 strikeouts in 61 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out came on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when the left-hander went six scoreless innings while allowing seven hits.
- Abbott will try to pitch five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing.
- He is looking to keep a streak of two games without giving up an earned run alive.
- The Reds have a 4-1 record in Abbott’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Abbott’s team has won eight of his 10 starts.
- Abbott has had 10 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in two of those games.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 47 | 51.2 | 45 | 2.96 | 15 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 47 | 41 | 39 | 2.20 | 11 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 47 | 46.1 | 67 | 2.14 | 1 | 31 |
| Buck Farmer | 47 | 51 | 46 | 3.71 | 9 | 2 |
| Lucas Sims | 42 | 41.1 | 49 | 3.70 | 17 | 2 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs are 25-16 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Chicago is 17-2 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits in 70 games this season, and is 50-20 in those contests.
- Chicago is 41-13 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Cubs have drawn at least five walks in 37 games this season, and are 22-15 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 30-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 26-6.
- They have a record of 53-20 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cincinnati has a 57-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 37 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-20
Cubs vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-127)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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