Gary Sanchez leads the San Diego Padres (52-54) into a contest against the Colorado Rockies (41-64) after homering twice in a 5-3 victory over the Rangers. It starts at 8:40 PM ET on Monday.
The Rockies (+174 underdog on the moneyline) take the field at home against the Padres (-209). The matchup has an over/under set at 12 total runs.
The betting facts in the following article reference odds valid as of July 31, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Rockies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -209 | +174 | 12 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have won 43, or 53.8%, of the 80 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- San Diego has a record of 6-5, a 54.5% win rate, when favored by -209 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 67.6% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 41 of its 106 chances.
- The Padres have an ATS record of 52-54-0 in 106 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 2.97 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Rockies Betting Insights
- The Rockies have come away with 37 wins in the 91 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Colorado has won nine of 33 games when listed as at least +174 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 36.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Colorado has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 44 of 105 chances this season.
- In 105 games with a line this season, the Rockies have a mark of 51-54-0 against the spread.
Rockies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.09 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Seth Lugo
- Lugo’s team is 7-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in seven innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Lugo has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 15 chances this season.
- Lugo’s team has been victorious in 41.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-7.
- Lugo’s team has won six of his 15 starts.
- In Lugo’s 15 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 43 | 42.1 | 26 | 4.04 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 42 | 40 | 61 | 0.90 | 0 | 25 |
| Steven Wilson | 41 | 44 | 46 | 2.45 | 20 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 40 | 74.2 | 69 | 3.98 | 14 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 38 | 36.2 | 38 | 5.40 | 9 | 0 |
Rockies Probable Pitcher – Austin Gomber
- Gomber gets the start for the Rockies, his 22nd of the season. He is 8-8 with a 5.83 ERA and 72 strikeouts through 108 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Tuesday against the Washington Nationals, the lefty tossed six innings, allowing no earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Gomber will try to build upon a nine-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing).
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 21 outings this season.
- The Rockies are 10-9 in Gomber’s 19 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Gomber’s team has won 11 of his 21 starts.
- Gomber has started 21 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in nine of them.
Rockies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lawrence | 44 | 53 | 55 | 2.89 | 8 | 8 |
| Jake Bird | 42 | 61.2 | 55 | 4.09 | 6 | 0 |
| Brad Hand | 39 | 35 | 41 | 4.63 | 3 | 0 |
| Daniel Bard | 36 | 37.1 | 33 | 2.89 | 5 | 1 |
| Brent Suter | 35 | 48.1 | 40 | 2.79 | 4 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 26-20 this season in games when they send out at least two homers.
- San Diego has had five or more extra-base hits in 28 games this season, and has gone 20-8 in those outings.
- The team is 41-17 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- San Diego is 43-7 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Padres have drawn five or more walks in 46 games this season, and are 27-19 in those contests.
Rockies Hitting Trends
- They are 15-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Colorado has won 11 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 66 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 31-35.
- In 42 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 31-11.
- They have a 9-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Rockies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-209)
Over/Under Pick: Under (12)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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