Giants vs. Red Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 30, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 30, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (57-48) and Boston Red Sox (56-48) play on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET at Oracle Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.

Both the Giants and the Red Sox have -109 moneyline odds to win this game. The over/under for this game is 8.

The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of July 30, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
No Favorite -109 -109 8

Giants Betting Insights

  • This season, the Giants have won 30 out of the 56 games, or 53.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • San Francisco has a record of 31-27 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -109 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 52.2% chance of a victory for the Giants.
  • So far this season, San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 46 of 105 games with a total.
  • The Giants are 53-52-0 against the spread this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.4
HR 10
ERA 4.50
K/9 7.3

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have won in 29, or 51.8%, of the 56 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Boston has a win-loss record of 29-27 when favored by -109 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 52.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Boston’s games have gone over the total in 53 of its 104 opportunities.
  • The Red Sox are 55-49-0 against the spread in their 104 games that had a posted line this season.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 12
ERA 3.00
K/9 10.1

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Scott Alexander

  • Alexander and his team are 1-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Thursday against the Oakland Athletics, throwing a scoreless third of an inning of relief and allowing one hit.
  • If he manages to end his start without allowing an earned run, he’d extend his streak of appearances with no earned runs to three.
  • When Alexander starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-2.
  • Alexander’s team is 1-3 when he starts this season.
  • In games Alexander has started this season, the teams are 2-2-0 at hitting the over.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 47 47 63 2.68 0 31
Tyler Rogers 46 52.2 42 2.22 23 2
Taylor Rogers 39 35.1 44 2.8 5 1
Scott Alexander 30 29 16 3.41 5 1
Jakob Junis 25 56.1 66 4.79 2 1

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brennan Bernardino

  • Bernardino gets the start for the Red Sox, his seventh of the season. He is 1-0 with a 2.31 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 35 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out — in relief on Saturday — the left-hander threw a scoreless third of an inning against the San Francisco Giants without surrendering a hit.
  • Bernardino has yet to pitch five or more innings in any of his six starts (he’s averaging 1 1/3 innings per appearance).
  • He will try for his fourth straight outing without allowing an earned run.
  • The Red Sox were named the moneyline underdog for two Bernardino starts this season — they lost both.
  • Bernardino’s team has put together a 3-3 record over his six starts.
  • Bernardino’s starts went over the run total two times in six games with a set total this season.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Kenley Jansen 36 34.1 41 3.15 0 23
Josh Winckowski 35 56.1 49 2.88 12 2
Chris Martin 35 32.1 30 1.67 16 1
Brennan Bernardino 25 35 39 2.31 3 0
Richard Bleier 21 25.2 14 4.91 2 0

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants have a 23-16 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
  • San Francisco is 15-7 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits in 57 games this season, and is 40-17 in those contests.
  • San Francisco has a 35-14 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Giants have drawn five or more walks in 29 games this season, and are 20-9 in those contests.

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 33 games this season and are 24-9 in those matchups.
  • In 33 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 24-9.
  • They have a record of 47-28 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Boston has a 46-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 13-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Giants vs. Red Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (-109)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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