Padres vs. Rangers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 30, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 30, 2023

The San Diego Padres (51-54) aim to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the Texas Rangers (60-45), at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday.

The Rangers are an away underdog (+163) at the Padres (-194). The game’s total is set at 9.

The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of July 30, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Rangers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -194 +163 9

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have won 42, or 53.2%, of the 79 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season San Diego has won 10 of its 19 games, or 52.6%, when favored by at least -194 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 66% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 41 of its 105 chances.
  • In 105 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 51-54-0 ATS.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 11
ERA 2.76
K/9 9.4

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been victorious in 20, or 54.1%, of the 37 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Texas has been listed as an underdog of +163 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 38% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Texas has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 54 of 105 chances this season.
  • The Rangers have posted a record of 61-44-0 against the spread this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 14
ERA 6.80
K/9 7.6

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell

  • Snell’s team is 9-12-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on two hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • Snell will look to finish five or more innings for the 13th start in a row.
  • He has finished seven appearances without allowing an earned run in 21 chances this season.
  • When Snell starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-8.
  • Snell’s team has won eight of his 21 starts this season.
  • Games started by Snell have an 8-12-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Hill 43 42.1 26 4.04 9 0
Josh Hader 41 39 60 0.92 0 24
Steven Wilson 40 43 46 2.51 19 0
Nick Martínez 39 73.2 67 3.79 13 1
Luís Garcia 38 36.2 38 5.4 9 0

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Cody Bradford

  • Bradford gets the start for the Rangers, his sixth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 4.62 ERA and 32 strikeouts through 37 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty last appeared in relief on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings against the Houston Astros, allowing two earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Bradford is looking to pick up his fifth start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
  • He has had two appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Rangers were the moneyline underdog for two Bradford starts this season — they lost both.
  • In Bradford’s five starts, his team is 1-4.
  • Bradford has had five starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those outings.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Aroldis Chapman 37 37.1 67 2.65 8 3
Will Smith 36 37 38 2.68 5 17
Brock Burke 33 41 31 2.63 9 0
José Leclerc 32 33.2 37 2.67 2 1
Josh Sborz 29 38.2 53 4.42 10 0

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have a 25-20 record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • San Diego is 20-8 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has racked up eight or more hits in 57 games this season, and is 40-17 in those contests.
  • San Diego has a 42-7 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Padres have drawn five or more walks in 46 games this season, and are 27-19 in those contests.

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 35 of the 49 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Texas has won 23 of its 35 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 59 of the 87 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Texas has a 54-18 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 39 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 24-15

Padres vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-194)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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