The Los Angeles Dodgers (59-44) host the Cincinnati Reds (57-49) at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Dodgers are favored at home (-173) against the Reds (+144). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 30, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Dodgers vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | -173 | +144 | 9.5 |
Dodgers Betting Insights
- This season, the Dodgers have won 50 out of the 86 games, or 58.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Los Angeles is 17-14 this season when entering a game favored by -173 or more on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 63.4% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
- Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 59 of its 103 games with a total this season.
- In 103 games with a spread this season, the Dodgers are 53-50-0 ATS.
Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.6 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 5.34 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been victorious in 38, or 48.7%, of the 78 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 10 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +144 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of its 106 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Reds have posted a record of 66-40-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.00 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Michael Grove
- Grove’s team is 4-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed eight hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays.
- In 10 starts, Grove has pitched through or past the fifth inning six times. He has a season average of 4.3 frames per outing.
- He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in 13 chances this season.
- Grove’s team has a record of 4-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Grove’s team has a 6-4 record in his starts this season.
- Games Grove has started this season hit the over four times in 10 chances.
Dodgers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yency Almonte | 44 | 43 | 42 | 5.02 | 9 | 0 |
| Brusdar Graterol | 43 | 45 | 34 | 1.8 | 12 | 4 |
| Caleb Ferguson | 42 | 40.1 | 49 | 2.9 | 14 | 2 |
| Evan Phillips | 40 | 40.2 | 47 | 2.21 | 6 | 13 |
| Phil Bickford | 36 | 42 | 48 | 5.14 | 3 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft
- Ashcraft (5-7) takes the mound first for the Reds in his 20th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.64 ERA in 99 2/3 innings pitched, with 74 strikeouts.
- In his last outing on Tuesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, the righty threw 5 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Ashcraft is trying for his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per start.
- He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Reds have a 6-9 record in Ashcraft’s 15 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Ashcraft’s 19 starts, his team is 9-10.
- Ashcraft has started 19 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 11 of them.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 47 | 51.2 | 45 | 2.96 | 15 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 47 | 41 | 39 | 2.2 | 11 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 47 | 46.1 | 67 | 2.14 | 1 | 31 |
| Buck Farmer | 47 | 51 | 46 | 3.71 | 9 | 2 |
| Lucas Sims | 42 | 41.1 | 49 | 3.7 | 17 | 2 |
Dodgers Hitting Trends
- The Dodgers have a 40-15 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Los Angeles has had at least five extra-base hits in 34 games this season, and has gone 25-9 in those contests.
- The team has collected eight or more hits 66 times this season, and has a 46-20 record in those games.
- Los Angeles is 51-16 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Dodgers are 34-14 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 33 games this season and are 28-5 in those matchups.
- Cincinnati has gone 24-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 71 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 51-20.
- Cincinnati has won 55 of its 65 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 37 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-20
Dodgers vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-173)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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