The New York Mets (49-55) host the Washington Nationals (44-61) at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.
The Nationals (+193 underdog moneyline odds to win) are away versus the Mets (-239). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of July 30, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -239 | +193 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have entered the game as favorites 70 times this season and won 39, or 55.7%, of those games.
- New York has played as favorites of -239 or more once this season and won that game.
- The Mets have a 70.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of its 105 games with a total this season.
- The Mets are 41-64-0 ATS in their 105 games with a spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.83 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 97 games this year and have walked away with the win 39 times (40.2%) in those games.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win eight times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +193 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 34.1% chance of pulling out a win.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 51 of its 104 opportunities.
- The Nationals have posted a record of 56-48-0 against the spread this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander
- When Verlander starts, his team is 5-10-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander allowed two hits in six scoreless innings pitched against the New York Yankees on Tuesday.
- Verlander will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 15 chances this season.
- When Verlander starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-5.
- Verlander’s team has a 7-8 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Verlander have a 5-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 45 | 42.1 | 39 | 3.40 | 11 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 44 | 37 | 40 | 2.43 | 19 | 2 |
| Drew Smith | 38 | 35.2 | 40 | 4.04 | 9 | 2 |
| Trevor Gott | 38 | 36.2 | 38 | 4.66 | 7 | 0 |
| Dominic Leone | 30 | 30.2 | 33 | 4.40 | 2 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- Williams (5-5 with a 4.47 ERA and 77 strikeouts in 104 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Nationals, his 22nd of the season.
- The right-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Colorado Rockies, when he went six innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Williams is aiming for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 frames per start.
- In three of his 21 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Nationals are 9-10 in Williams’ 19 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Williams’ team has an 11-10 record in his starts this season.
- Williams has had 20 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and eight of those matchups hit the over.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 41 | 44 | 42 | 3.07 | 8 | 14 |
| Mason Thompson | 40 | 46.1 | 40 | 4.27 | 9 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 23 | 28.2 | 30 | 3.14 | 2 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 17 | 20 | 16 | 8.10 | 1 | 0 |
| Joe LaSorsa | 12 | 12 | 9 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have racked up at least two homers in 35 games this season, and are 19-16 in those contests.
- New York is 12-5 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched at least eight hits 58 times this season, and has a 37-21 record in those games.
- New York is 37-17 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mets have drawn five or more walks in 24 games this season, and are 14-10 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 24 games this season and are 15-9 in those matchups.
- Washington has won 13 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 37 of the 72 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has a 31-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 19 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 9-10
Mets vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-239)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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