The St. Louis Cardinals (46-60) take a three-game losing run into a home matchup versus the Chicago Cubs (53-51), at 2:15 PM ET on Sunday.
The Cubs are an underdog (+113 moneyline odds) when they take on the Cardinals (-133). The over/under in the game is 9 total runs.
The insights in the article below reflect odds as of July 30, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cardinals vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -133 | +113 | 9 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- This season, the Cardinals have been favored 58 times and won 25, or 43.1%, of those games.
- St. Louis has a record of 18-22 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -133 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 57.1% chance to win.
- St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of its 105 games with a total this season.
- In 105 games with a spread this season, the Cardinals are 49-56-0 ATS.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.55 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 52 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (44.2%) in those games.
- Chicago has a mark of 14-15 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +113 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 46.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Chicago has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 54 of 104 chances this season.
- The Cubs are 53-51-0 against the spread in their 104 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.50 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Steven Matz
- Matz and his team have a record of 5-9-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six scoreless innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks while allowing five hits.
- Matz has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made 22 appearances and finished eight of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Matz starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-5.
- Matz’s team has won five of his 14 starts this season.
- Games started by Matz have a 5-8-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 41 | 53.2 | 59 | 4.36 | 4 | 1 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 40 | 43 | 42 | 3.77 | 14 | 8 |
| Jordan Hicks | 39 | 41.2 | 59 | 3.67 | 6 | 8 |
| Drew VerHagen | 37 | 41 | 43 | 4.83 | 7 | 0 |
| Andre Pallante | 35 | 40.2 | 34 | 4.43 | 9 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Kyle Hendricks
- Hendricks gets the start for the Cubs, his 13th of the season. He is 4-4 with a 3.58 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 70 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, the right-hander threw 6 1/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, allowing three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- Hendricks will aim to go five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.8 frames per outing.
- In one of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
- The Cubs have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Hendricks’ starts this season, and they went 4-4 in those games.
- In Hendricks’ 12 starts, his team is 8-4.
- Hendricks has had 12 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in eight of those matchups.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 44 | 46 | 61 | 3.72 | 9 | 0 |
| Michael Fulmer | 42 | 46 | 49 | 4.30 | 8 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 42 | 44 | 55 | 3.07 | 18 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 38 | 46.1 | 52 | 2.33 | 7 | 12 |
| Javier Assad | 17 | 46.1 | 36 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- The Cardinals are 34-19 this season in games when they crush two or more bombs.
- St. Louis has gone 27-5 in its 32 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has notched at least eight hits 72 times this season, and has a 45-27 record in those games.
- St. Louis is 41-12 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Cardinals are 14-19 in the 33 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They are 25-16 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Chicago has gone 16-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 50-20 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Chicago has a 41-13 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 37 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 22-15
Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+113)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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