The Miami Marlins (56-49) and Detroit Tigers (47-58) play a rubber match on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Marlins are the home favorite (-161) against the Tigers (+135). The contest has a set total of 7.
The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 30, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -161 | +135 | 7 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have been favored 52 times and won 32, or 61.5%, of those games.
- Miami is 15-4 this season when entering a game favored by -161 or more on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have a 61.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of 105 games with a total.
- The Marlins are 47-58-0 against the spread in their 105 chances this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 87 games this year and have walked away with the win 37 times (42.5%) in those games.
- Detroit has a win-loss record of 23-26 when favored by +135 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 42.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Detroit and its opponents have gone over in 55 of its 106 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Tigers have an against the spread record of 57-49-0 in 106 games with a line this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.00 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo
- When Luzardo starts, his team is 12-9-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in seven innings pitched against the Colorado Rockies on Sunday.
- Luzardo has started 21 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 17 times. He averages 5.7 innings per appearance.
- He has four appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 21 chances this season.
- Luzardo’s team has a record of 7-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Luzardo’s team has a 14-7 record in his starts this season.
- Games Luzardo has started this season hit the over 10 times in 21 chances.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 43 | 48.2 | 71 | 2.96 | 20 | 2 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 40 | 50.1 | 51 | 3.75 | 13 | 0 |
| David Robertson | 40 | 44 | 48 | 2.05 | 7 | 15 |
| Steven Okert | 37 | 37 | 50 | 3.16 | 10 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 36 | 36.1 | 27 | 4.95 | 6 | 3 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Tarik Skubal
- Skubal makes the start for the Tigers, his fifth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 17 2/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty last pitched on Monday against the San Francisco Giants, when he tossed five scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
- Skubal enters this game with one outing of five or more innings pitched this season.
- In three of his four total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Tigers were named the moneyline underdog for one Skubal start this season — they lost.
- Skubal’s team is 1-3 over his four starts.
- Skubal’s starts went over the run total one time in four games with a set total this season.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 45 | 46.1 | 41 | 2.33 | 18 | 4 |
| Chasen Shreve | 42 | 38.1 | 39 | 4.70 | 11 | 0 |
| Alex Lange | 42 | 42.2 | 54 | 3.80 | 2 | 17 |
| José Cisnero | 41 | 39.2 | 44 | 3.86 | 11 | 1 |
| Tyler Holton | 33 | 53.1 | 47 | 1.69 | 6 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are 12-19 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
- Miami has gone 17-1 in its 18 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits in 83 games this season, and is 46-37 in those contests.
- Miami is 38-11 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Marlins have drawn at least five walks in 23 games this season, and are 12-11 in those contests.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 26 games this season and are 17-9 in those matchups.
- Detroit has won 13 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 62 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 44-18.
- Detroit has won 37 of its 48 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 27 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-10
Marlins vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-161)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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