The Boston Red Sox (56-47) aim to extend their five-game win streak when they face the San Francisco Giants (56-48) on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET, at Oracle Park.
The Giants are an underdog (+102 moneyline odds) when they host the Red Sox (-121). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of July 29, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Giants Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -121 | +102 | 8.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- This season, the Red Sox have won 26 out of the 46 games, or 56.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Boston has entered 33 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 21-12 in those contests.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of 103 opportunities.
- The Red Sox are 55-48-0 ATS in their 103 games with a spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.17 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
Giants Betting Insights
- The Giants have won in 25, or 53.2%, of the 47 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, San Francisco has been victorious 16 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Giants have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- San Francisco and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of its 104 opportunities.
- The Giants are 52-52-0 against the spread in their 104 games that had a posted line this season.
Giants Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.25 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – James Paxton
- When Paxton starts, his team is 6-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, July 22, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in six innings against the New York Mets.
- In 12 starts this season, Paxton has lasted five or more innings nine times, with an average of 5.4 innings per appearance.
- In 12 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
- Paxton’s team has been victorious in 33.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-6.
- Paxton’s team has won seven of his 12 starts.
- Games started by Paxton have an 8-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 35 | 32.1 | 30 | 1.67 | 16 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 35 | 56.1 | 49 | 2.88 | 12 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 35 | 34.1 | 41 | 2.88 | 0 | 23 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 25 | 35 | 39 | 2.31 | 3 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 20 | 23.2 | 14 | 4.94 | 2 | 0 |
Giants Probable Pitcher – Ryan Walker
- The Giants will send Walker (3-0) out to make his seventh start of the season. He is 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 33 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Thursday against the Oakland Athletics, the right-hander threw 2 2/3 scoreless innings while surrendering one hit.
- Walker, who averages 1.4 per appearance, has not yet gone five or more innings in a start this season (in six starts).
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in 17 of his 24 outings this season.
- The Giants have played as the moneyline underdog for four of Walker’s starts this season, and they won all of the games.
- Walker’s six starts have all been victories for his team this season.
- Walker has started six games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.
Giants Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Doval | 46 | 46 | 62 | 2.35 | 0 | 31 |
| Tyler Rogers | 45 | 52 | 42 | 2.25 | 22 | 2 |
| Taylor Rogers | 39 | 35.1 | 44 | 2.80 | 5 | 1 |
| Scott Alexander | 30 | 29 | 16 | 3.41 | 5 | 1 |
| Jakob Junis | 25 | 56.1 | 66 | 4.79 | 2 | 1 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have a 24-9 record this season in games when they smash two or more home runs.
- Boston has gone 24-9 in its 33 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits in 75 games this season, and is 47-28 in those contests.
- Boston has a 46-10 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Red Sox have gone 13-10 over the 23 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Giants Hitting Trends
- They are 23-16 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- San Francisco has won 15 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 56 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 39-17.
- San Francisco has won 35 of its 49 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 20-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Red Sox vs. Giants Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Giants (+102)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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